Experts on renewed fighting in Karabakh
Sergi Kapanadze, expert and co-founder of the Georgian Reforms Association (GRASS), commented on the recent developments in Karabakh on his Facebook page. In Kapanadze’s opinion, in the case of large-scale hostilities in Karabakh, Georgia cannot stay out of the processes.
‘The situation in Karabakh has seriously worsened. There is a high probability of large-scale military action. If a war breaks out, one should remember that Georgia will have to decide on the following issues:
– Will we let Russian aircrafts pass through our territory to assist Armenia?
– Will we let Turkish troops or any other aid pass through our territory en route to Azerbaijan?
– Will we let Russian convoy pass through our territory to strengthen their military base in Gyumri?
– If we do let them pass through our territory, which agreements will it be based on– formal or informal?
– Are we going to open our sea ports to the Armenian or Azerbaijani side for military or other goods?
– What will be our position on initiated resolutions within different international organizations?
– Shall we accept refugees, and how? How many of them?
– How are we going to act in the mediation process? Whose side are we going to be on? In such a situation, any decision we make or the absence of making a decision is a decision.
– What will our actions be in the case of new activity by Russia in Javakheti?
– Will we provide humanitarian aid? How much money do we have allocated for this purpose?
– Will we allow the use of our territory for international observation missions and other missions, under which there will be intervention in the conflict.
– Are we going to conduct high-level visits and where? In what sequence?
God forbid, if there is a large-scale war in Karabakh. I do not know who will be the winner in this war, but Georgia is likely to lose in it, reads Kapanadze’s Facebook post.”
The opinions, expressed in this article convey the author’s views and terminology do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of the editorial staff.