What will Georgia do in the case that the war in Karabakh is levied?
Sergi Kapanadze, expert and co-founder of the Georgian Reforms Association (GRASS), commented on the recent developments in Karabakh on his Facebook page.
In Kapanadze’s opinion, in the case of large-scale hostilities in Karabakh, Georgia cannot stay out of the processes.
‘The situation in Karabakh has seriously worsened. There is a high probability of large-scale military action. If a war breaks out, one should remember that Georgia will have to decide on the following issues:
– Will we let Russian aircrafts pass through our territory to assist Armenia?
– Will we let Turkish troops or any other aid pass through our territory en route to Azerbaijan?
– Will we let Russian convoy pass through our territory to strengthen their military base in Gyumri?
– If we do let them pass through our territory, which agreements will it be based on– formal or informal?
– Are we going to open our sea ports to the Armenian or Azerbaijani side for military or other goods?
– What will be our position on initiated resolutions within different international organizations?
– Shall we accept refugees, and how? How many of them?
– How are we going to act in the mediation process? Whose side are we going to be on? In such a situation, any decision we make or the absence of making a decision is a decision.
What will our actions be in the case of new activity by Russia in Javakheti?
– Will we provide humanitarian aid? How much money do we have allocated for this purpose?
– Will we allow the use of our territory for international observation missions and other missions, under which there will be intervention in the conflict.
– Are we going to conduct high-level visits and where? In what sequence?
God forbid, if there is a large-scale war in Karabakh. I do not know who will be the winner in this war, but Georgia is likely to lose in it, reads Kapanadze’s Facebook post.”