{"id":8995,"date":"2018-08-22T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-22T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/lari-niy%c9%99-qiym%c9%99td%c9%99n-dusub-v%c9%99-payizda-gurcu-valyutasinin-aqib%c9%99ti-nec%c9%99-olacaq\/"},"modified":"2022-01-18T01:10:51","modified_gmt":"2022-01-17T21:10:51","slug":"lari-niy%c9%99-qiym%c9%99td%c9%99n-dusub-v%c9%99-payizda-gurcu-valyutasinin-aqib%c9%99ti-nec%c9%99-olacaq","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/lari-niy%c9%99-qiym%c9%99td%c9%99n-dusub-v%c9%99-payizda-gurcu-valyutasinin-aqib%c9%99ti-nec%c9%99-olacaq\/","title":{"rendered":"Lari niy\u0259 qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb v\u0259 pay\u0131zda g\u00fcrc\u00fc valyutas\u0131n\u0131n aqib\u0259ti nec\u0259 olacaq?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Tbilisi. REUTERS\/David Mdzinari\u015fvili <\/span><\/em><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/p>\n

\u00d6t\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259 lari dollara nisb\u0259td\u0259 6,5 tetri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb, bu da 2017-ci ild\u0259n sonra larinin \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259ricisidir. <\/span><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Sonrak\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 milli valyuta m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b, amma iqtisad\u00e7\u0131lar deyir ki, onun v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00f6hk\u0259m deyil, \u00e7\u00fcnki lariy\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259n daxili v\u0259 xarici amill\u0259r nikbinlik \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas vermir. <\/span><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

_________________<\/p>\n

Lir\u0259 v\u0259 rublun ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 panika <\/b><\/span><\/h3>\n

Bu h\u0259min o v\u0259ziyy\u0259tdir ki, ekspertl\u0259r v\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t bu d\u0259f\u0259 larinin m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sin\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n xarici amill\u0259r, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n t\u00fcrk liras\u0131 v\u0259 Rusiya rublunun k\u0259skin d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sinin t\u0259sir etm\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259mfikirdil\u0259r. H\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n m\u00fch\u00fcm ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131d\u0131r. [2018-ci ilin yanvar-iyul aylar\u0131na olan m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n \u00f6z mallar\u0131n\u0131 ixrac etdiyi \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r siyah\u0131s\u0131nda Rusiya 3-c\u00fc (b\u00fct\u00fcn ixrac\u0131n 12.9%-i), T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 4-c\u00fc yer tutur (9.2%). \u0130dxal g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n, analoji d\u00f6vr \u0259rzind\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n \u0259sas t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f\u0131d\u0131r \u2014 16%, onun arxas\u0131nca G\u00fcrc\u00fcstana b\u00fct\u00fcn idxal\u0131n 10%-i il\u0259 Rusiya g\u0259lir. T\u0259bii ki, orada m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunan iqtisadi qeyri-stabillik ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r\u0259 m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\n <\/i>\u0130lin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259n t\u00fcrk lir\u0259si dollara nisb\u0259td\u0259 40% d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb, bu da Amerika il\u0259 g\u0259rgin siyasi m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. AB\u015e yenid\u0259n T\u00fcrkiy\u0259ni \u018frdo\u011fana qar\u015f\u0131 olan qiyama d\u0259st\u0259y\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 saxlan\u0131lan amerikal\u0131 ke\u015fi\u015fin vaxt\u0131nda azad olunmayaca\u011f\u0131 t\u0259qdird\u0259 yeni sanksiyalarla t\u0259hdid edib. T\u0259\u0259ss\u00fcf ki, he\u00e7 bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n pozitiv siqnal m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmur. \u00a0<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/p>\n

\u201cS\u0259rmay\u0259darlar, valyuta ticar\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259ri v\u0259 ba\u015fqa tip iqtisadi agentl\u0259r qon\u015fu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259ki b\u00f6hrana q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259tli n\u00f6qteyi-n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n bax\u0131rlar. Qon\u015fu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 b\u00f6hran m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunanda bel\u0259 bir g\u00f6zl\u0259nti yaran\u0131r ki, lari d\u0259 qiym\u0259td\u0259n b\u00fc\u015f\u0259c\u0259k, bu da n\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 h\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259n d\u0259 bizim valyutan\u0131n qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r\u201d,<\/span><\/em> \u2014 iqtisad\u00e7\u0131 Zviad Xorqua\u015fvili bildirib. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cBirinci panika s\u00f6nd\u00fc v\u0259 lari stabill\u0259\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flad\u0131. Stabill\u0259\u015fm\u0259 prosesi davam etm\u0259s\u0259, onda biz g\u00fcman ed\u0259 bil\u0259rik ki, larinin qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sinin ba\u015fqa s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259ri d\u0259 olub. Amma h\u0259l\u0259 ki, ba\u015fqa statistik m\u0259lumatlar yoxdur dey\u0259, ba\u015fqa n\u0259tic\u0259 \u00e7\u0131xara bilm\u0259rik\u201d,<\/span><\/i> \u2014 dey\u0259 o, qeyd edib. <\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00f6kum\u0259tin reaksiyas\u0131 <\/b><\/span><\/h3>\n

Larinin stabill\u0259\u015fm\u0259si rakursunda \u0259sas m\u0259qs\u0259d kimi G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n ba\u015f naziri xarici amill\u0259rd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n azald\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rib. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cM\u0259qs\u0259dimiz, bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, qlobal iqtisadiyyata daha effektiv inteqrasiya olunmaqd\u0131r, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n is\u0259 biz m\u00fctl\u0259q xarici amill\u0259r\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259td\u0259 as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 azaltmal\u0131y\u0131q. Bu iki m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259nin h\u0259lli asan deyil, amma m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Son g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259r (larinin m\u00f6hk\u0259l\u0259nm\u0259si) buna \u00e7ox yax\u015f\u0131 misald\u0131r\u201d,<\/span><\/i> \u2014 Mamuka Baxtadze bildirib, amma G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan iqtisadiyyat\u0131n\u0131n hans\u0131 yolla bu m\u0259qs\u0259d\u0259 nail olmaq niyy\u0259tind\u0259 oldu\u011funu konkretl\u0259\u015fdirmir. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadiyyat v\u0259 davaml\u0131 inki\u015faf naziri Georgi Kobuliya \u00fcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259 larinin t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdl\u0259rini pozitiv hadis\u0259 say\u0131r v\u0259 bunu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dak\u0131 kimi izah edir:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLarinin t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcd\u00fc iqtisadiyyat\u0131m\u0131z \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201ct\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik yast\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d yaratmaq imkan\u0131 verir… Bu t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdl\u0259r bizi m\u00fcdafi\u0259 edir… Misal \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn, lir\u0259 qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fs\u0259, bizim lari is\u0259 m\u00f6hk\u0259m qalsa, b\u00f6y\u00fck miqdarda t\u00fcrk mal\u0131 ala bil\u0259rik. Bu, bizi qane etmir, \u00e7\u00fcnki \u00f6z mal\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n istehsal\u0131 bahala\u015facaq v\u0259 biz istehsal ed\u0259 bilm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yik, biz d\u0259 bunu ist\u0259mirik ax\u0131?!\u201d. <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Ekspertl\u0259rin bir hiss\u0259si Geogi Kobuliyan\u0131n bu b\u0259yanat\u0131n\u0131 m\u0259suliyy\u0259td\u0259n qa\u00e7maq v\u0259 reall\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u0259hv qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilim\u0259si kimi d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ndirib. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 Akaki Tsomaya hesab edir ki, larinin qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sind\u0259 xarici amill\u0259rl\u0259 birlikd\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259tin qeyri-pe\u015f\u0259karl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da \u00e7ox b\u00f6y\u00fck rol oynay\u0131r. Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, h\u00f6kum\u0259t v\u0259 Milli Banka m\u00fcnasib\u0259td\u0259 total inams\u0131zl\u0131q var ki, bu da m\u0259nfi g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259r v\u0259 \u00fcmidsizliy\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cG\u00fcrc\u00fcstan Milli Bank\u0131 susur, t\u0259sad\u00fcf\u0259n n\u0259s\u0259 dey\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259 el\u0259 dild\u0259 deyir ki, onu ancaq onsuz da n\u0259yin ba\u015f verdiyini anlayan adamlar ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. Xalqa he\u00e7 kim he\u00e7 n\u0259 izah etmir v\u0259 panika var\u201d,<\/span><\/em> \u2014 Akakin tsomaya deyir. <\/span><\/p>\n

Proqnozlar <\/b><\/span><\/h3>\n

Eksertl\u0259r h\u0259l\u0259lik konkret proqnoz vermir, amma T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 v\u0259 Rusiyada cari b\u00f6hran n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 probleml\u0259rd\u0259n biri kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin qalxmas\u0131n\u0131 hesab edirl\u0259r. Maliyy\u0259\u00e7i \u0130rakli Eradze \u201cBusiness Media Georgia\u201dya m\u00fcsahib\u0259sind\u0259 bildirib ki, qeyd olunan t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdl\u0259r m\u00fcxt\u0259lif mallara qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin qalxmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xara bil\u0259r. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201c\u00d6lk\u0259mizin idxaldan xeyli as\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011funu n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq, ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli d\u00f6vrd\u0259 milli valyutan\u0131n t\u0259r\u0259dd\u00fcdl\u0259ri m\u00fctl\u0259q inflyasiya prosesl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaracaq, bel\u0259 olan halda da h\u00f6kum\u0259t v\u0259 Milli Banka art\u0131q inflyasiyan\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq daha \u00e7\u0259tin olacaq\u201d,<\/em> \u2014 \u0130rakli Ere\u015fadze bildirib. <\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00fcxt\u0259lif sah\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r art\u0131q qalxma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n Bu\u011fda \u0130stehsal\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 Assosiasiyas\u0131n\u0131n r\u0259hb\u0259ri Levan Silaqavan\u0131n s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 (m\u0259nb\u0259: Business Media Georgia), son iki h\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 bir kis\u0259 unun qiym\u0259ti 35 larid\u0259n 42 lariy\u0259 qalx\u0131b, \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259b d\u0259 rublun d\u0259y\u0259rd\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sidir.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cGalt & Taggart\u201d s\u0259rmay\u0259 bank\u0131 da \u00fcmidverici proqnoz vermir. Bu proqnoza \u0259sas\u0259n, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 iqtisadi b\u00f6hran davam ed\u0259rs\u0259, larinin m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si ilin ax\u0131r\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r ola bilsin ki, 2.70 h\u0259ddind\u0259 olacaq. <\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\n <\/i><\/p>\n

\u00d6t\u0259n 6 ay\u0131n t\u0259hlili n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n olunub ki, t\u00fcrk lir\u0259sinin h\u0259r 10 faizlik ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 avtomatik olaraq g\u00fcrc\u00fc larisinin 1.2 faiz d\u0259y\u0259rd\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131b. Bu, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259d\u0259 iqtisadi b\u00f6hran\u0131n G\u00fcrc\u00fcstandak\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 t\u0259sirini a\u00e7\u0131q n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirir. \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n <\/div>\n <\/p>\n

Ekspertl\u0259rin fikrinc\u0259, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n b\u0259xti g\u0259tirib ki, qon\u015fu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 b\u00f6hranlar yay vaxt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb, \u00e7\u00fcnki f\u0259al turist m\u00f6vs\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn say\u0259sind\u0259 lariy\u0259 t\u0259sir nisb\u0259t\u0259n yum\u015faq olub. <\/span><\/p>\n

R\u0259smi m\u0259lumatlara g\u00f6r\u0259, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n turizm sah\u0259sind\u0259n g\u0259liri bu ilin yanvar-iyul aylar\u0131 \u0259rzind\u0259 1,7 milyard dollar t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Daha \u00e7ox daxilolma iyulda qeyd\u0259 al\u0131n\u0131b \u2013 431 milyon dollar, bu da bir il \u0259vv\u0259lki g\u00f6st\u0259ricid\u0259n 14% \u00e7oxdur. Avqust v\u0259 sentyabr turizm bax\u0131m\u0131ndan f\u0259al aylard\u0131r, bu da larinin stabill\u0259\u015fm\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yax\u015f\u0131 amildir.<\/span><\/p>\n

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T\u00fcrk lir\u0259sinin h\u0259r 10 faizlik ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 avtomatik olaraq g\u00fcrc\u00fc larisinin 1.2 faiz d\u0259y\u0259rd\u0259n d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":21486,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,2,3,5],"tags":[],"formation":[],"post-author":[3620],"topic":[],"tooltip":[],"city":[6049],"class_list":["post-8995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iqtisadiyyat","category-cografiya","category-gurcustan","category-siyast","post-author-zaza-abashidze","city-tbilisi"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLari niy\u0259 qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb v\u0259 pay\u0131zda g\u00fcrc\u00fc valyutas\u0131n\u0131n aqib\u0259ti nec\u0259 olacaq? - JAMnews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/lari-niy\u0259-qiym\u0259td\u0259n-dusub-v\u0259-payizda-gurcu-valyutasinin-aqib\u0259ti-nec\u0259-olacaq\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"az_AZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lari niy\u0259 qiym\u0259td\u0259n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb v\u0259 pay\u0131zda g\u00fcrc\u00fc valyutas\u0131n\u0131n aqib\u0259ti nec\u0259 olacaq? 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