{"id":61965,"date":"2022-04-07T09:46:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-07T05:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/?p=61965"},"modified":"2022-04-13T15:24:51","modified_gmt":"2022-04-13T11:24:51","slug":"rusiyanin-t%c9%99cridi-qarabag-munaqis%c9%99sinin-nizamlanmasina-nec%c9%99-t%c9%99sir-ed%c9%99c%c9%99k-az%c9%99rbaycandan-fikirl%c9%99r","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/rusiyanin-t%c9%99cridi-qarabag-munaqis%c9%99sinin-nizamlanmasina-nec%c9%99-t%c9%99sir-ed%c9%99c%c9%99k-az%c9%99rbaycandan-fikirl%c9%99r\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusiyan\u0131n t\u0259cridi Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin nizamlanmas\u0131na nec\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k? Az\u0259rbaycandan fikirl\u0259r"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ukraynaya h\u0259rbi t\u0259cav\u00fcz\u00fcn\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r Rusiya \u00fcmumilikd\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz regionunda, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n d\u0259 Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin nizamlanmas\u0131nda g\u00fccl\u00fc t\u0259sir\u0259 sahib idi. Bu t\u0259sir 2020-ci il noyabr\u0131n 10-da \u0130lham \u018fliyev, Nikol Pa\u015finyan v\u0259 Vladimir Putin 44 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ikinci Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcharib\u0259sin\u0259 son qoyan v\u0259 Qaraba\u011fda Rusiya s\u00fclhm\u0259raml\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yerl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si il\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259n\u0259n \u00fc\u00e7t\u0259r\u0259fli b\u0259yanat\u0131 imzalayandan sonra daha da g\u00fccl\u0259nmi\u015fdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amma indi RF Q\u0259rbin sanksiyalar\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259 faktiki t\u0259crid olunmu\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259t\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb v\u0259 d\u00fcnya siyasi arenas\u0131nda \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc n\u00fcfuzdan sal\u0131b. Fevral\u0131n 22-d\u0259, Ukraynada m\u00fcharib\u0259 ba\u015flayandan iki g\u00fcn \u0259vv\u0259l is\u0259 \u018fliyev v\u0259 Putin m\u00fctt\u0259fiqlik m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri haqda b\u0259yannam\u0259 imzalay\u0131blar, hans\u0131n\u0131 ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda \u00e7oxlar\u0131 az qala ciddi probleml\u0259r\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olacaq iblisl\u0259 s\u00f6vd\u0259l\u0259\u015fm\u0259 kimi q\u0259bul etdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bak\u0131da Ukraynaya d\u0259st\u0259k aksiyas\u0131. Foto toplum.tv<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin yekun nizamlanmas\u0131na nec\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259yi v\u0259 vasit\u0259\u00e7i qismind\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n yerini kimin tuta bil\u0259c\u0259yi haqda az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131 ekspertl\u0259r fikirl\u0259rini b\u00f6l\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cVasit\u0259\u00e7i kimi Rusiyan\u0131 \u0259v\u0259z ed\u0259c\u0259k he\u00e7 kim yoxdur\u201d<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u201cRusiyan\u0131n t\u0259crid olunmas\u0131 Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin nizamlanmas\u0131 il\u0259 m\u0259\u015f\u011ful olan AT\u018fT-in Minsk qrupunun g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k f\u0259aliyy\u0259tini praktiki olaraq m\u00fcmk\u00fcns\u00fcz edir. Rusiya AB\u015e v\u0259 Fransa il\u0259 birlikd\u0259 Minsk qrupunun h\u0259ms\u0259drl\u0259rind\u0259n biri idi, indi is\u0259 bu \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda ciddi ziddiyy\u0259tl\u0259r yaran\u0131b\u201d, <\/em>politoloq \u0130lqar V\u0259lizad\u0259 deyir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amma o \u0259mindir ki, Erm\u0259nistan v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan ist\u0259nil\u0259n halda Rusiyan\u0131n timsal\u0131nda vasit\u0259\u00e7ini itirm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r. Haz\u0131rda m\u00f6vcud olan raz\u0131la\u015fmalara \u0259sas\u0259n, post-m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 nizamlamas\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 praktiki m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r, m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, yollar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 ya s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rin demarkasiyas\u0131 m\u0259hz \u00fc\u00e7t\u0259r\u0259fli format \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilm\u0259lidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cH\u0259tta A\u0130 n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259l\u0259ri h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n bu prosesd\u0259ki rolunu q\u0259bul edirl\u0259r. Ola bil\u0259r ki, g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 Q\u0259rb \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n biri bu rolu \u00f6z \u00fcz\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6t\u00fcrs\u00fcn, daha effektiv model t\u0259klif etsin v\u0259 onun h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilm\u0259sini t\u0259min etsin. Amma h\u0259l\u0259lik Rusiyan\u0131 bu qisimd\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259c\u0259k he\u00e7 kim yoxdur\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sanki el\u0259 indi, Rusiyan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131 tamam\u0259n m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 qar\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015fk\u0259n, Yerevan v\u0259 Bak\u0131 birba\u015fa raz\u0131la\u015fma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fa bil\u0259rdil\u0259r. Amma V\u0259lizad\u0259 bunun m\u00fcmk\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u0259 \u015f\u00fcbh\u0259 edir v\u0259 hesab edir ki, Erm\u0259nistan, Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n, el\u0259 regionun dig\u0259r \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin d\u0259 bir-birind\u0259n qa\u00e7acaq yeri yoxdur. Az\u0259rbaycan regiondak\u0131 \u0259sas b\u00f6y\u00fck m\u00fctt\u0259fiqi T\u00fcrkiy\u0259nin xeyrin\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259n tam imtina etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiy\u0259, Rusiya, \u0130ranla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri qurark\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan h\u0259mi\u015f\u0259 balans\u0131 qoruma\u011fa can at\u0131b. \u0130ndi d\u0259 bu balans\u0131 pozmayacaq ki, \u00f6z geosiyasi davaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na x\u0259l\u0259l yetirm\u0259sin. \u0130st\u0259nil\u0259n disbalans \u00f6lk\u0259miz \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u0259nfi n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r ver\u0259 bil\u0259r. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n Rusiya da region \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 \u00f6z t\u0259sirini qoruma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. H\u0259tta G\u00fcrc\u00fcstanla b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 baxmayaraq, iqtisadi \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r qal\u0131r\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla yana\u015f\u0131 politoloq qeyd edir ki, b\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar yax\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259y\u0259 aiddir, uzun perspektiv \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn proqnozlar etm\u0259k is\u0259 indi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn deyil. Amma ist\u0259nil\u0259n halda Az\u0259rbaycan bir \u00e7ox dig\u0259r d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259r kimi indi yeni \u015f\u0259raitin s\u0131na\u011f\u0131ndan ke\u00e7ir, hans\u0131 ki, idealda onu daha m\u00f6hk\u0259m olmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00f6z siyasi v\u0259 iqtisadi resurslar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 motivasiya etm\u0259lidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiy\u0259 v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259n istifad\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k\u201d<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Siyasi f\u0259al, ke\u00e7mi\u015f vicdan m\u0259hbusu Qiyas \u0130brahimov ehtimal edir ki, Ukraynada m\u00fcharib\u0259 uzanacaq, Rusiya C\u0259nubi Qafqaz \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259ki n\u0259zar\u0259tini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cYaranm\u0131\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn azsayl\u0131 \u201cn\u0259f\u0259slikl\u0259rd\u0259n\u201d biri kimi qal\u0131r. O, burada \u00f6z\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259n s\u0259rf\u0259li \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ri saxlamaqda maraql\u0131d\u0131r. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259si bel\u0259c\u0259 h\u0259ll edilm\u0259mi\u015f qals\u0131n. D\u00fczd\u00fcr, indi, Rusiya b\u00fct\u00fcn q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rini Ukrayna il\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 s\u0259f\u0259rb\u0259r etdiyi zaman Erm\u0259nistan v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan daha \u00e7ox bar\u0131\u015f\u0131q haqda dan\u0131\u015fma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131blar. Amma h\u0259tta bu halda da, b\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla, Rusiya C\u0259nubi Qafqaz \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259td\u0259n imtina etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaq ki, bu bar\u0131\u015f\u0131qonun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259rf\u0259li olsun\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130brahimovun fikrinc\u0259, Rusiya h\u0259mi\u015f\u0259 vasit\u0259\u00e7id\u0259n daha \u00e7ox \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc maraql\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259f olub v\u0259 vasit\u0259\u00e7i ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sini k\u00f6z\u0259r\u0259n v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 saxlay\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u018flb\u0259tt\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan aras\u0131nda ziddiyy\u0259tl\u0259r m\u00f6vcuddur. Amma bu c\u00fcr ziddiyy\u0259tl\u0259r b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyadak\u0131 bir \u00e7ox dig\u0259r xalqlar aras\u0131nda da m\u00f6vcuddur. V\u0259 Qaraba\u011f probleminin indiy\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r h\u0259ll edilm\u0259mi\u015f qalmas\u0131 bir \u00e7ox c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n m\u0259hz Rusiyan\u0131n timsal\u0131nda imperiya q\u00fcvv\u0259sin\u0259 s\u0259rf etm\u0259m\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Siyasi f\u0259al\u0131n proqnozuna g\u00f6r\u0259, \u0259g\u0259r Rusiya regiondak\u0131 t\u0259sirini itirmi\u015f olsa, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259  \u00f6z m\u00f6vqeyini m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bundan yararlanacaq v\u0259 Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin nizamlanmas\u0131na daha f\u0259al m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cR\u0259smi Ankara art\u0131q Yerevanla m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri d\u00fcz\u0259ltm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn f\u0259al add\u0131mlar at\u0131r. O, bunu h\u0259l\u0259 2009-cu ild\u0259, S\u00fcrix protokolu <\/em>[Erm\u0259nistan v\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 aras\u0131nda m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin normalla\u015fmas\u0131 prosesinin ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutan, amma n\u0259tic\u0259siz qalan ikit\u0259r\u0259fli sazi\u015f] imzalanan zaman etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rd\u0131. O zaman buna nail ola bilm\u0259di. Amma indi v\u0259ziyy\u0259t ba\u015fqad\u0131r v\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 h\u0259tta ikinci Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n rol oynaya bildi. Rusiyan\u0131n z\u0259ifl\u0259diyini n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq, bu d\u0259f\u0259 Ankaran\u0131n ist\u0259yin\u0259 nail ola bil\u0259c\u0259yi m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00fctt\u0259fiqlik m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri haqda b\u0259yannam\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, h\u0259r iki ekspert haz\u0131rda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00f6z \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 bu s\u0259n\u0259din h\u00fc\u00e7 bir t\u0259sirini hiss etm\u0259diyi fikrind\u0259 uzla\u015f\u0131r. Sad\u0259 dill\u0259 des\u0259k, Rusiya Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131 \u00f6z t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259 durma\u011fa v\u0259 Ukrayna il\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 k\u00f6m\u0259k etm\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259cbur etmir (\u0259slind\u0259 el\u0259 \u0259n ba\u015f\u0131ndan m\u0259hz bunun m\u00fcmk\u00fcnl\u00fcy\u00fc \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck narahatl\u0131q do\u011fururdu).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amma \u0130lqar V\u0259lizad\u0259 hesab edir ki, bundan sonra da bel\u0259 olacaq v\u0259 RF bu s\u0259n\u0259d\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycana qar\u015f\u0131 he\u00e7 bir t\u0259l\u0259b ir\u0259li s\u00fcrm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. Qiyas \u0130brahimov is\u0259 bu ehtimal\u0131 istisna etmir, baxmayaraq ki, o da bu t\u0259l\u0259bl\u0259rin n\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n ibar\u0259t ola bil\u0259c\u0259yi haqda g\u00fcmanlar qurma\u011fa t\u0259l\u0259smir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bu hekay\u0259 \u201cTrayektoriya\u201d <\/a>media layih\u0259sinin bir hiss\u0259sidir. Layih\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazda m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin h\u0259yatlar\u0131na toxundu\u011fu insanlardan b\u0259hs edir. B\u00fct\u00fcn C\u0259nubi Qafqazdan olan m\u00fc\u0259llifl\u0259r v\u0259 redaktorlarla i\u015fl\u0259yir v\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259l\u0259rin he\u00e7 birind\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rd\u0259n he\u00e7 birini d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259mir. Bu s\u0259hif\u0259d\u0259ki materiallara g\u00f6r\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259llifl\u0259r m\u0259suliyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. \u018fks\u0259r hallarda toponiml\u0259r m\u00fc\u0259llifl\u0259rin c\u0259miyy\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 q\u0259bul olundu\u011fu kimi istifad\u0259 edilir. Layih\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259yil\u0259 GoGroup Media<\/a> v\u0259 International Alert <\/a>t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusiya Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin nizamlanmas\u0131nda \u0259sas vasit\u0259\u00e7i olaraq qalacaqm\u0131, yoxsa onun yerini T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 tutacaq? Az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131 ekspertl\u0259rin fikirl\u0259ri f\u0259rqlidir<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":61835,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,5602,17,9,38,49,4,35],"tags":[],"formation":[],"post-author":[5642],"topic":[4951,6111,4952,6110,245,6055,4954,40,6124,4955,5213,5972,6114],"tooltip":[],"city":[6041],"class_list":["post-61965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ermnistan","category-azerbaycan-ermenistan","category-azrbaycan","category-munaqislr","category-qarabag","category-srh","category-rusiya","category-hekaylr","post-author-irac-isgndrov","topic-ermnistan","topic-ermnistan-rusiya","topic-azrbaycan","topic-azrbaycan-rusiya","topic-azrbaycan-v-ermnistan","topic-ukraynada-munaqis","topic-qarabag","topic-qarabag-munaqissi","topic-att-in-minsk-qrupu","topic-rusiya","topic-qarabagda-hrbi-mliyyatlar-2020","topic-ukrayna","topic-ukraynada-muharib","city-baki"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRusiyan\u0131n t\u0259cridi Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin nizamlanmas\u0131na nec\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k? 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