Poto: Reuters<\/p>\n
G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n M\u00fcdafi\u0259 Nazirliyi t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n i\u015fl\u0259nib haz\u0131rlanan yeni strategiyaya \u0259sas\u0259n, \u00f6lk\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas t\u0259hdid olaraq Rusiya v\u0259 onun h\u0259yata\u00a0 ke\u00e7irdiyi \u201cs\u00fcr\u00fcn\u0259n i\u015f\u011fal\u201d q\u0259bul edilir. Strategiyada Rusiyan\u0131n \u201cyum\u015faq g\u00fcc\u00fc\u201dn\u00fcn v\u0259 hibrid m\u00fcharib\u0259sinin \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259tirdiyi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 q\u0259bul edilir.<\/p>\n
S\u0259n\u0259d 2017-2020-ci ill\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutulub v\u0259 burada terrorizm ancaq s\u0259thi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 xat\u0131rlan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Strateji m\u00fcdafi\u0259 icmal\u0131 s\u0259n\u0259di milli s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259nib haz\u0131rlanan strategiyalardan biridir. Milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik konsepsiyas\u0131, t\u0259hdidl\u0259rin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si v\u0259 milli h\u0259rbi strategiya s\u0259n\u0259dind\u0259n sonra strateji m\u00fcdafi\u0259 icmal\u0131 s\u0259n\u0259di \u00f6lk\u0259nin m\u00fcdafi\u0259 sisteminin uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda m\u00fch\u00fcm rol oynay\u0131r. Orada yaz\u0131lanlar t\u0259kc\u0259 M\u00fcdafi\u0259 Nazirliyinin fikri deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259tin \u00fcmumi n\u00f6qteyi-n\u0259z\u0259ridir.<\/p>\n
Kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r b\u00f6y\u00fck h\u0259cmli olan s\u0259n\u0259din (46 s\u0259hif\u0259, 6 \u0259sas f\u0259sil) t\u0259rkibind\u0259 h\u0259m m\u00f6vcud \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131n icmal\u0131, h\u0259m d\u0259 riskl\u0259rin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si v\u0259 t\u00f6vsiy\u0259l\u0259r var.<\/p>\n
S\u0259n\u0259dd\u0259 \u0259sas yeri Rusiya Federasiyas\u0131ndan g\u0259l\u0259n h\u0259rbi t\u0259hdidl\u0259r tutur. O c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyin\u0259 \u0259sas t\u0259hdid kimi i\u015f\u011fal olunmu\u015f \u0259razil\u0259r v\u0259 \u201cs\u00fcr\u00fcn\u0259n i\u015f\u011fal\u201d g\u00f6st\u0259rilir.<\/p>\n
\u201cS\u00fcr\u00fcn\u0259n i\u015f\u011fal\u201d\u0131n son n\u00fcmun\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n biri 28 aprel hadis\u0259l\u0259ri oldu, bu zaman Abxaziyan\u0131n Qal rayonunun Nabakevi k\u0259ndi il\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n Zuqdidi rayonunun Xur\u00e7a k\u0259ndind\u0259 rusiyal\u0131 h\u0259rb\u00e7il\u0259r i\u015f\u011fal x\u0259ttini 300 metr ir\u0259li \u00e7\u0259kdil\u0259r. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 2 hektarl\u0131q torpaq sah\u0259si i\u015f\u011fal olunmu\u015f \u0259razil\u0259r\u0259 qat\u0131ld\u0131. Bu c\u00fcr hallar h\u0259m Abxaziya, h\u0259m d\u0259 C\u0259nubi Osetiya t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n inzibati s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 tez-tez ba\u015f verir.<\/p>\n
Amma yeni strategiyada Kremld\u0259n g\u0259l\u0259n h\u0259rbi t\u0259hdid v\u0259 i\u015f\u011fal haqq\u0131nda d\u0259qiq bildirils\u0259 d\u0259, hans\u0131 n\u00f6v anti-i\u015f\u011fal v\u0259 ya anti-ilhaq siyas\u0259tinin i\u015fl\u0259nib haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131n vacib olmas\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn ssenaril\u0259ri h\u0259min bu\u00a0iri s\u0259n\u0259din he\u00e7 bir yerind\u0259 \u00a0tapmayacaqs\u0131z.<\/p>\n
S\u0259n\u0259din \u0259sas v\u0259 m\u00fch\u00fcm yenilikl\u0259rind\u0259n biri Rusiyan\u0131n \u201cyum\u015faq g\u00fcc\u00fc\u201dn\u00fcn v\u0259 t\u0259bli\u011fat\u0131n\u0131n tan\u0131nmas\u0131d\u0131r. Buna q\u0259d\u0259r G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n d\u00f6vl\u0259t institutlar\u0131 Rusiyan\u0131n bu, \u0259n effektiv silah\u0131n\u0131 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tsiz hesab edir v\u0259 bu faktoru d\u00f6vl\u0259t s\u0259viyy\u0259li s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rd\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alm\u0131rd\u0131lar.<\/p>\n
Q\u0259rbin art\u0131q \u00e7oxdand\u0131r ki, Kremlin t\u0259bli\u011fat ma\u015f\u0131n\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcbariz\u0259d\u0259 f\u0259al add\u0131mlar atd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir vaxtda G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan ancaq bu il siyasi s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 q\u0259bul etdi ki, Rusiya t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n informasiya m\u00fcharib\u0259si v\u0259 t\u0259bli\u011fat\u0131 real t\u0259hdiddir. (AB\u015e-da Obama administrasiyas\u0131 d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 t\u0259sdiq edil\u0259n Portman-Merfi qanun layih\u0259si dezinformasiyan\u0131n a\u015fkar edilm\u0259si v\u0259 cavab add\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fl\u0259nib haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 m\u0259qs\u0259dil\u0259 informasiya t\u0259hlili m\u0259rk\u0259zinin yarad\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tuturdu. \u00a0Bundan ba\u015fqa, 2015-ci ilin may ay\u0131nda Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 m\u0259qs\u0259di Rusiya t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n dezinformasiya kampaniyas\u0131n\u0131n prevensiyas\u0131 olan \u015f\u0259rq strateji kommunikasiyalar\u0131n x\u00fcsusi qrupu yarad\u0131ld\u0131 (EEAS East Stratcom Task Force).<\/p>\n
Strateji m\u00fcdafi\u0259 icmal\u0131nda qeyd olunur ki, \u201cKreml d\u00f6vl\u0259t institutlar\u0131n\u0131 z\u0259ifl\u0259tm\u0259k, Rusiya y\u00f6nl\u00fc ictimai v\u0259 siyasi qruplar\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259k v\u0259 Q\u0259rbin xarici siyasi kursuna qara yaxmaq m\u0259qs\u0259dil\u0259 yum\u015faq g\u00fcc\u00fcn elementl\u0259rinin g\u00fccl\u0259ndirilm\u0259sin\u0259 x\u00fcsusi yer ay\u0131r\u0131r\u201d.<\/p>\n
Qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, bu, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstanda s\u00f6z\u00fcged\u0259n istiqam\u0259td\u0259 cari ild\u0259 q\u0259bul edil\u0259n art\u0131q ikinci s\u0259n\u0259ddir \u2013 aprelin 13-d\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259t \u201cG\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n A\u0130 v\u0259 NATO-ya \u00fczv olmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 2017-2020-ci ill\u0259r \u00fczr\u0259 h\u00f6kum\u0259tin kommunikasiya strategiyas\u0131n\u0131\u201d q\u0259bul edib, burada da Rusiya t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n informasiya m\u00fcharib\u0259si t\u0259hdid kimi tan\u0131n\u0131r.<\/p>\n
M\u00fcdafi\u0259 Nazirliyi t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n t\u0259sdiq edil\u0259n s\u0259n\u0259dd\u0259 hibrid m\u00fcharib\u0259si d\u0259 Rusiya t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n daha bir t\u0259hdid kimi g\u00f6st\u0259rir.<\/p>\n
Hibrid m\u00fcharib\u0259si d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259n m\u00f6vqeyi tutan t\u0259r\u0259fin \u0259m\u0259ll\u0259ridir, bu zaman o, klassik h\u0259rbi intervensiyaya \u0259l atm\u0131r, opponentl\u0259 m\u00fcxt\u0259lif metodlardan istifad\u0259 etm\u0259kl\u0259 m\u00fcbariz\u0259 apar\u0131r. Bu metodlar m\u0259xfi h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar, t\u0259xribatlar, kiber-h\u00fccumlar, d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259nin \u0259razisind\u0259 qiyam\u00e7\u0131lara d\u0259st\u0259k.<\/p>\n
Moskva hibrid m\u00fcharib\u0259si arsenal\u0131ndan art\u0131q Ukrayna il\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 \u201cu\u011furla\u201d istifad\u0259 edib, bu zaman \u00f6z siyasi m\u0259qs\u0259dl\u0259rin\u0259 nail olmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn eyni zamanda h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlara, konvensiya silah\u0131n\u0131n istifad\u0259sin\u0259, terrorizm\u0259, kriminal \u0259m\u0259ll\u0259r\u0259 v\u0259 kiber-h\u00fccumlara da \u0259l at\u0131b.<\/p>\n
M\u00fcdafi\u0259 strategiyas\u0131 \u00fczr\u0259 s\u0259n\u0259d bu c\u00fcr g\u00fcc\u0259 m\u00fcqavim\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn effektiv kompleks mexanizmi tapmaq, t\u0259hlil etm\u0259k v\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259yib haz\u0131rlamaq c\u0259hdidir.<\/p>\n
Dem\u0259k olar ki, strategiya \u0259vv\u0259lki s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rl\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 daha m\u0259qs\u0259dy\u00f6nl\u00fc v\u0259 iddial\u0131d\u0131r. Amma s\u0259n\u0259din a\u015fkar z\u0259if t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259ri d\u0259 var.<\/p>\n
46 s\u0259hif\u0259d\u0259n ibar\u0259t s\u0259n\u0259d terrorizm kimi t\u0259hdidi dem\u0259k olar ki, iqnor edir.<\/p>\n
200-\u0259 yax\u0131n v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f\u0131 Suriya v\u0259 \u0130raqda \u0130slam D\u00f6vl\u0259ti v\u0259 \u018fl-Nusra s\u0131ralar\u0131nda d\u00f6y\u00fc\u015f\u0259n, h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n terror t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131ralar\u0131na ke\u00e7m\u0259k t\u0259hdidinin y\u00fcks\u0259k oldu\u011fu \u00f6lk\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn terrorizm\u0259 g\u00f6z yummaq, yum\u015faq des\u0259k, q\u0259rib\u0259dir.<\/p>\n
H\u0259m d\u0259 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq ki, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan h\u0259l\u0259 2001-ci ild\u0259n d\u00fcnya terrorizml\u0259 m\u00fcbariz\u0259y\u0259 \u00f6z t\u00f6hf\u0259sini verir. H\u0259min vaxtdan g\u00fcrc\u00fc h\u0259rb\u00e7il\u0259ri Aral\u0131q d\u0259nizind\u0259, AB\u015e-da 11 senytabr terror akt\u0131ndan sonra ba\u015flayan v\u0259 2016-c\u0131 ilin noyabr ay\u0131nda ba\u015fa \u00e7atan \u00a0\u201cF\u0259al t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcs\u201d (Active Endeavour) anti-terror \u0259m\u0259liyyat\u0131nda i\u015ftirak edib.<\/p>\n
Strategiyada 2020-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r realla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131 olan \u00e7ox sayda b\u00f6y\u00fck planlar var \u2013 g\u00fccl\u00fc h\u0259rbi ehtiyat\u0131n yarad\u0131lmas\u0131, total m\u00fcdafi\u0259 siyas\u0259tinin i\u015fl\u0259nib haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131, ordunun tam \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 yenid\u0259n silahlanmas\u0131 v\u0259 k\u00f6hn\u0259 silahlar\u0131n utilizasiyas\u0131, h\u0259rbi hey\u0259tin pe\u015f\u0259karl\u0131q s\u0259viyy\u0259sinin art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131. Amma b\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar bu c\u00fcr inqilabi d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn laz\u0131m olan maliyy\u0259 il\u0259 t\u0259min olunmay\u0131b \u2013 2020-ci il\u0259 planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f b\u00fcdc\u0259 \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 bunu etm\u0259k \u00e7\u0259tin olacaq. (2017-ci il\u0259 olan h\u0259rbi b\u00fcdc\u0259 670 milyon lari (t\u0259xmin\u0259n 275 milyon dollar) t\u0259\u015fkil edir, 2020-ci il\u0259 olan proqnoz is\u0259 \u00a0720 milyon laridir (t\u0259xmin\u0259n 295 milyon dollar).<\/p>\n
Eyni zamanda qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, 2020-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r m\u00fcdafi\u0259 qurumu \u015ftatlar\u0131n ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 optimalla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. Plana \u0259sas\u0259n, 2020-ci il\u0259 hey\u0259tin x\u0259rcl\u0259rinin pay\u0131 m\u00fcdafi\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259 NATO \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin orta g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin\u0259 uy\u011funla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r (56%). H\u0259m d\u0259 b\u00fcdc\u0259 planlar\u0131na \u0259sas\u0259n, silahl\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 t\u0259dqiqat v\u0259 inki\u015faf\u0131n x\u0259rcl\u0259ri xeyli azald\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bundan ba\u015fqa, silah\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259li \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131\u00a0 planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
G\u00fcrc\u00fcstanda m\u00fcdafi\u0259nin strateji icmal\u0131na dair yeni s\u0259n\u0259d q\u0259bul edilib. Bu, n\u0259dir v\u0259 niy\u0259 bu q\u0259d\u0259r vacibdir?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,5],"tags":[],"formation":[],"post-author":[3536],"topic":[],"tooltip":[],"city":[6049],"class_list":["post-5600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cografiya","category-gurcustan","category-siyast","post-author-georgi-qoquadze-tbilisi","city-tbilisi"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n