{"id":3489,"date":"2016-11-23T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2016-11-23T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/qarabagi-n%c9%99-gozl%c9%99yir\/"},"modified":"2022-01-18T00:51:34","modified_gmt":"2022-01-17T20:51:34","slug":"qarabagi-n%c9%99-gozl%c9%99yir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/qarabagi-n%c9%99-gozl%c9%99yir\/","title":{"rendered":"Qaraba\u011f\u0131 n\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir"},"content":{"rendered":"

Donald Tramp\u0131n prezident seçilm\u0259si bütün dünyada, o cüml\u0259d\u0259n d\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqaz ölk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fiklik gözl\u0259ntisin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b oldu. Düzdür, Vladimir Putinin söyl\u0259diyi kimi, dünyada yegan\u0259 super ölk\u0259 olan AB\u015e-\u0131n siyas\u0259tinin hans\u0131 istiqam\u0259t üzr\u0259 inki\u015faf ed\u0259c\u0259yini heç kim bilmir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Qaraba\u011f münaqi\u015f\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 da \u011fözl\u0259ntil\u0259r var, düzdür \u0259ks\u0259r ekspertl\u0259r etiraf edir ki, münaqi\u015f\u0259 ancaq daha qlobal transformasiyalar kontekstind\u0259, o cüml\u0259d\u0259n Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259ki qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n sona çatmas\u0131 il\u0259 h\u0259ll oluna bil\u0259r. Çox \u015fey d\u0259 ondan as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq ki, Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259r toxunulmaz qalacaq, yoxsa C\u0259nubi Qafqaz v\u0259 Türkiy\u0259ni d\u0259 yan ötm\u0259y\u0259n yeni sülh müqavil\u0259si imzalanacaq.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u0259l\u0259liks\u0259 Qaraba\u011f münaqi\u015f\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fiklik ancaq bir \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tsiz faktda özünü göst\u0259rdi – AT\u018fT-in Qaraba\u011f münaqi\u015f\u0259sinin t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259si yollar\u0131n\u0131n axtar\u0131\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 m\u0259\u015f\u011ful olan Minsk qrupunun amerikal\u0131 h\u0259ms\u0259dri Ceyms Uorlik v\u0259zif\u0259ni t\u0259rk etdiyini bildirdi. \u041e, Va\u015finqtonda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n iri Rusiya \u015firk\u0259tinin m\u0259sl\u0259h\u0259tçisi olmaq niyy\u0259tind\u0259dir.   <\/span><\/p>\n

Uorlikin gedi\u015fi t\u0259nziml\u0259m\u0259nin m\u0259ntiqinin d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib ç\u0131xara bil\u0259r. Ceyms Uorlik 2013-cü ild\u0259 Minsk qrupunun h\u0259ms\u0259dri oldu, h\u0259min vaxtdan da dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n \u0259sas mövzusu Amerikan\u0131n Qaraba\u011f münaqi\u015f\u0259si zonas\u0131nda insidentl\u0259rin ara\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 mexanizml\u0259rinin yerl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 t\u0259\u015f\u0259bbüsü oldu. Bu zaman konkret olaraq n\u0259yin n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutuldu\u011funu heç kim bilmir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Monitorinq avadanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar, amma bu avadanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n hans\u0131 ölk\u0259nin istehsal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 göst\u0259rilmir, onun hans\u0131sa paytaxtda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n “m\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 olub-olmayaca\u011f\u0131 bildirilmir. Y\u0259ni Qaraba\u011fla Az\u0259rbaycan aras\u0131ndak\u0131 s\u0259rh\u0259d\u0259 kimin n\u0259zar\u0259t ed\u0259c\u0259yi v\u0259 regionun kimin “ç\u0259tiri alt\u0131na keç\u0259c\u0259yi m\u0259lum deyil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Erm\u0259nistan AB\u015e-\u0131n t\u0259klifini q\u0259bul etdi, eyni zamanda da Yerevan Rusiya il\u0259 h\u0259rbi-texniki \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha da möhk\u0259ml\u0259ndirir. O cüml\u0259d\u0259n, Erm\u0259nistanla Rusiyan\u0131n vahid Hava Hücumuna Qar\u015f\u0131 Sisteminin yarad\u0131lmas\u0131 haqda müqavil\u0259nin ratifikasiyas\u0131 art\u0131q ba\u015fa çatmaq üzr\u0259dir. \u0130ndi d\u0259 söhb\u0259t Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f qrupla\u015fman\u0131n yarad\u0131lmas\u0131ndan gedir, bura Erm\u0259nistanda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n 102-ci Rusiya bazas\u0131 v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan ordusunun korpuslar\u0131ndan biri daxil olacaq. H\u0259tta bel\u0259 bir m\u0259lumat var ki, qrupla\u015fmaya xüsusi xidm\u0259t qüvv\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259  daxil ola bil\u0259r (xat\u0131rladaq ki, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Türkiy\u0259 v\u0259 \u0130ranla s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259ri Rusiya FTX-nin s\u0259rh\u0259d qo\u015funlar\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n mühafiz\u0259 olunur).<\/span><\/p>\n

Bundan ba\u015fqa, Erm\u0259nistan bu yax\u0131nlarda Rusiyan\u0131n hava “ç\u0259tirinin bir hiss\u0259si olan “\u0130sg\u0259nd\u0259r operativ-taktiki kompleksl\u0259rini nümayi\u015f etdirdi. H\u0259m d\u0259 erm\u0259ni t\u0259r\u0259fi s\u0259rh\u0259din möhk\u0259ml\u0259ndirilm\u0259si, infraq\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 kameralar v\u0259 ba\u015fqa monitorinq avadanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n qura\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 müst\u0259qil \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 i\u015f gördüyünü bildirir. Müdafi\u0259 nazirinin müavininin sözl\u0259rin\u0259 gör\u0259, h\u0259min avadanl\u0131q dü\u015fm\u0259nin “arxa c\u0259bh\u0259d\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259rini görm\u0259k imkan\u0131 verir.  <\/span><\/p>\n

Bütün bu add\u0131mlar ondan x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259r\u0259fi indiki, 1994-cü ilin may ay\u0131nda elan edil\u0259n at\u0259\u015fk\u0259sd\u0259n sonra mü\u0259yy\u0259n olunan v\u0259 1-4 aprel 2016-c\u0131 ild\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259n Aprel Müharib\u0259si il\u0259 korreksiya olunan  s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rd\u0259n geri ç\u0259kilm\u0259k niyy\u0259tind\u0259 deyil. Erm\u0259ni t\u0259r\u0259fi apreld\u0259 c\u0259nub v\u0259 \u015fimal istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 800 hektar \u0259razini itirdiyini etiraf etdi. Amma bütün qalan torpaqlar\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259r\u0259fi n\u0259yin bahas\u0131na olursa olsun qorumaq niyy\u0259tind\u0259dir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Erm\u0259nistan prezidenti Serj Sarkisyan “Sputnik agentliyin\u0259 müsahib\u0259sind\u0259 bildirdi ki, 2011-ci ild\u0259 Kazanda ba\u015f tutan dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar zaman\u0131 keçmi\u015f Da\u011fl\u0131q Qaraba\u011f Muxtar Respublikas\u0131 \u0259traf\u0131ndak\u0131, “Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n i\u015f\u011fal olunmu\u015f adland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 rayonlar\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycana qaytarma\u011fa haz\u0131r idi. Söhb\u0259t müharib\u0259 zaman\u0131 Qaraba\u011f\u0131n n\u0259zar\u0259ti alt\u0131na keç\u0259n 5-7 rayondan gedir.  <\/span><\/p>\n

Serj Sarkisyan onlar\u0131 t\u0259hlük\u0259sizlik zonas\u0131 adland\u0131r\u0131r v\u0259 bildirir ki, erm\u0259ni t\u0259r\u0259fi oradan qo\u015funlar\u0131 ç\u0131xarma\u011fa haz\u0131r\u0131yd\u0131, \u0259v\u0259zind\u0259 is\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Qaraba\u011f\u0131n müst\u0259qilliyini tan\u0131mal\u0131 v\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri açmal\u0131 idi. Amma 2011-ci ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyev bir s\u0131ra yeni \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259r ir\u0259li sürdü v\u0259 Kazan plan\u0131ndan imtina etdi.  <\/span><\/p>\n

Tam ayd\u0131n deyil ki, Rusiyan\u0131n ir\u0259li sürm\u0259y\u0259 çal\u0131\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu plandan \u018fliyev indi imtina edir yoxsa yox. Bu yax\u0131nlarda \u018fliyev bildirdi ki, Qaraba\u011f\u0131n muxtariyy\u0259tini n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n keçirm\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131rd\u0131r, amma yaln\u0131z Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0259razi bütövlüyü ç\u0259rçiv\u0259sind\u0259. \u018fliyev eyni zamanda geni\u015f miqyasl\u0131 t\u0259liml\u0259r keçirm\u0259kl\u0259 v\u0259 yeni silah\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 m\u0259lumat verm\u0259kl\u0259 militarist ritorikas\u0131n\u0131 bir az da gücl\u0259ndirdi. Bundan ba\u015fqa, Az\u0259rbaycan 2017-ci ild\u0259 h\u0259rbi x\u0259rcl\u0259ri 63% art\u0131rma\u011fa haz\u0131rla\u015f\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekspertl\u0259r indi d\u0259 Serj Sarkisyan\u0131n Kazan plan\u0131ndan imtina etdiyini bildirirl\u0259r. Amma görün\u0259n budur ki, vasit\u0259çil\u0259r, o cüml\u0259d\u0259n d\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 Fransa, eyni zamanda da AT\u018fT-in f\u0259aliyy\u0259td\u0259 olan s\u0259dri Almaniya  indiki s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rin d\u0259yi\u015fdirilm\u0259sini n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutan v\u0259 regionda sabitliyin pozulmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259c\u0259k Kazan plan\u0131n\u0131 deyil, indiki status-kvonun saxlanmas\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan mümkün yollarla bu trendi d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 v\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131 Kazan t\u0259klifl\u0259ri m\u0259cras\u0131na qaytarma\u011fa çal\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bunun üçün d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Rusiyan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistana t\u0259sirind\u0259n istifad\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 çal\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Rusiya yönlü Avrasiya \u0130ttifaq\u0131na üzv olaca\u011f\u0131 ehtimal\u0131na eyham vuraraq, Az\u0259rbaycan Moskvadan Qaraba\u011f\u0131n az\u0131 bir neç\u0259 rayonu \u015f\u0259klind\u0259 “ba\u015fl\u0131q t\u0259l\u0259b edir.    <\/span><\/p>\n

Erm\u0259nistanla s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rin aç\u0131lmas\u0131na Qaraba\u011f münaqi\u015f\u0259sinin t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259sini \u015f\u0259rt kimi ir\u0259li sür\u0259n Türkiy\u0259 d\u0259 var. Bu s\u0259rh\u0259d Avropa \u015euras\u0131 ölk\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 yegan\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 yerdir, bununla bel\u0259 Türkiy\u0259 inadla s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259ri açm\u0131r v\u0259 bildirir ki, bunu ancaq Erm\u0259nistan qo\u015funlar\u0131n\u0131 Qaraba\u011f \u0259traf\u0131ndak\u0131 rayonlardan ç\u0131xarandan sonra ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bu zaman da rayonlar\u0131n say\u0131 7,5 v\u0259 3 aras\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fir, bu yax\u0131nlarda is\u0259 türk m\u0259murlar\u0131ndan biri bildirdi ki, Erm\u0259nistan bir rayondan bel\u0259 qo\u015funlar\u0131 ç\u0131xarmaq ist\u0259m\u0259di, halbuki Türkiy\u0259 m\u0259hz bunu t\u0259klif edirdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu fonda da Qaraba\u011f münaqi\u015f\u0259sinin t\u0259nziml\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259 inki\u015faf vektorunun nec\u0259 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259xmin etm\u0259k ç\u0259tindir. Xüsus\u0259n d\u0259 ona gör\u0259 ki, Erm\u0259nistanda indi seçkiqaba\u011f\u0131 dövr ba\u015flay\u0131r v\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n ilin ortalar\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r xüsusi bir inki\u015faf gözl\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 d\u0259ym\u0259z.  <\/span><\/p>\n

Bununla bel\u0259, b\u0259zi analitikl\u0259r istisna etmir ki, Barak Obama prezidentlik dövrünün son iki ay\u0131ndan Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 böyük müqavil\u0259nin imzalanmas\u0131 üçün istifad\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k. Bu, çoxpill\u0259li bir müqavil\u0259 d\u0259 ola bil\u0259r, i\u015ftirakç\u0131lar\u0131 çox güman ki, Rusiya, Türkiy\u0259 v\u0259 \u0130ran olacaq. Bu müqavil\u0259 d\u0259 h\u0259min ölk\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 qon\u015fu olan C\u0259nubi Qafqazdan yan ötm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k.   <\/span><\/p>\n

Bel\u0259 bir müqavil\u0259 imzalanmasa, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda indiki v\u0259ziyy\u0259t dondurulacaq. Az\u0259rbaycan vaxta\u015f\u0131r\u0131 v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 çal\u0131\u015facaq ki, status-kvo beyn\u0259lxalq ictimaiyy\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n q\u0259bul olunan bir reall\u0131\u011fa çevrilm\u0259sin. Amma Erm\u0259nistan da bel\u0259 görünür ki, “status \u0259v\u0259zind\u0259 \u0259razi v\u0259 ya “\u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rin aç\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlardan imtina \u0259v\u0259zind\u0259 \u0259razi prinsipiyl\u0259 münaqi\u015f\u0259nin t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259sin\u0259 mara\u011f\u0131n\u0131 itirib.<\/span><\/p>\n

“Sputnik\u0259 müsahib\u0259sind\u0259 Serj Sarkisyan bildirib ki, ist\u0259nil\u0259n vaxt \u0130lham \u018fliyevl\u0259 görü\u015f\u0259 haz\u0131rd\u0131r, amma yaln\u0131z etimad v\u0259 at\u0259\u015fk\u0259s rejiminin möhk\u0259ml\u0259ndirilm\u0259si ölçül\u0259ri haqda müqavil\u0259nin imzalanmas\u0131 üçün. Görün\u0259n budur ki, Kazan plan\u0131n\u0131 unutmaq laz\u0131md\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u0259qal\u0259d\u0259 yer alan fikirl\u0259r mü\u0259llifin terminologiyas\u0131 v\u0259 bax\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 ifad\u0259 edir v\u0259 redaksiyan\u0131n mövqeyi il\u0259 üst-üst\u0259 dü\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 bil\u0259r<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u0259rc olunub: 24.11.2016<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tramp g\u0259ldi, Uorlik gedir \u2013 region kimin \u00e7\u0259tiri alt\u0131na ke\u00e7\u0259c\u0259k?\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"formation":[],"post-author":[2888],"topic":[],"tooltip":[],"city":[6041],"class_list":["post-3489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","post-author-jamnews","city-baki"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nQaraba\u011f\u0131 n\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir - JAMnews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/qarabagi-n\u0259-gozl\u0259yir\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"az_AZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Qaraba\u011f\u0131 n\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir - 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