{"id":3341,"date":"2016-04-26T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2016-04-26T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/qarabag-v%c9%99-tbilisi-riskl%c9%99r-v%c9%99-cagirislar\/"},"modified":"2022-01-18T01:21:30","modified_gmt":"2022-01-17T21:21:30","slug":"qarabag-v%c9%99-tbilisi-riskl%c9%99r-v%c9%99-cagirislar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/qarabag-v%c9%99-tbilisi-riskl%c9%99r-v%c9%99-cagirislar\/","title":{"rendered":"Qaraba\u011f v\u0259 Tbilisi: riskl\u0259r v\u0259 \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar"},"content":{"rendered":"

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n Qaraba\u011f \u0259traf\u0131nda son hadis\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 reaksiyas\u0131 adekvat idi. \u00d6lk\u0259nin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 olaraq duran t\u0259hdidl\u0259r yoxa \u00e7\u0131xmay\u0131b v\u0259 onlar h\u0259m G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan r\u0259hb\u0259rliyind\u0259n, h\u0259m d\u0259 c\u0259miyy\u0259td\u0259n t\u0259cili v\u0259 ciddi cavablar t\u0259l\u0259b edirl\u0259r.<\/span><\/p>\n

JAMnews v\u0259 Henrix Bell Fondunun Tbilisid\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkil etdikl\u0259ri \u201cG\u00fcrc\u00fcstanda Qaraba\u011f hadis\u0259l\u0259ri m\u00f6vzusunda iki saatl\u0131q diskussiya zaman\u0131 da s\u00f6hb\u0259t m\u0259hz bundan gedirdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Diskussiyada i\u015ftirak etdil\u0259r: <\/span><\/p>\n

Elene Xo\u015ftariya, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n GRASS \u0130slahatlar Assosiyasiyas\u0131n\u0131n yarad\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131ndan biri, Tbilisi;\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Mamuka Are\u015fidze, Qafqaz Strateji Ara\u015fd\u0131rmalar M\u0259rk\u0259zinin r\u0259hb\u0259ri, Tbilisi; <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Tatul Akopyan, Qaraba\u011f \u00fczr\u0259 ekspert, Yerevan; <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015eahin Rzayev, jurnalist, Bak\u0131. <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Sessiyada moderatorluq etdi politoloq Qela Vasadze, Tbilisi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusiyan\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u0131 v\u0259 regionda m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00fcc balans\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

N\u0259tic\u0259:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ekspertl\u0259r indiki m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlara qo\u015fulma t\u0259hdidinin olmamas\u0131 m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259mfikirdil\u0259r. Amma ba\u015fqa bir problem d\u0259 var ki, bu da Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycana artan t\u0259siridir, n\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 d\u0259 bu, g\u00fccl\u0259rin balans\u0131n\u0131n d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xara bil\u0259r v\u0259 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259lidir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Elene Xo\u015ftariya, Tbilisi:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201c\u018fvv\u0259lc\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n i\u015ftirak\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 narahatl\u0131q yarand\u0131. Bel\u0259 olan halda G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan G\u00fcmri [G\u00fcmrid\u0259ki h\u0259rbi baza] il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 q\u0259rar q\u0259bul etm\u0259li olacaqd\u0131. Amma h\u0259l\u0259 ki, biz tamamil\u0259 f\u0259rqli bir dinamikan\u0131 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 edirik. Rusiyadan g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n isterik v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycana qar\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u0259l\u0259n t\u0259bli\u011fat olmad\u0131. Rusiya Az\u0259rbaycanla tamamil\u0259 f\u0259rqli bir tonda \u00fcnsiyy\u0259t quraraq, Da\u011fl\u0131q Qaraba\u011f\u0131n \u0259traf \u0259razil\u0259rinin ona qaytar\u0131lmas\u0131 \u0259v\u0259zind\u0259 Avrasiya \u0130ttifaq\u0131na daxil olma\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 KTTM-d\u0259 [Kollektiv T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik M\u00fcqavil\u0259si T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131na] \u00fczv olma\u011f\u0131 t\u0259klif etdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Siyasi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 yarand\u0131 \u2013 Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycanda dominantl\u0131q tendensiyas\u0131. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, bu T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n z\u0259if reaksiya v\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n passivliyi fonunda ba\u015f verir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mamuka Are\u015fidze, Tbilisi:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cM\u0259n G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u0259razisind\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar da olmasa, t\u0259xribat g\u00f6zl\u0259yirdim. M\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin f\u0259al m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sinin \u201cyatmas\u0131na baxmayaraq, t\u0259xribat ehtimal\u0131, m\u0259nim fikrimc\u0259, h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 m\u00f6vcuddur.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 TRASEKA, \u201c\u0130p\u0259k yolu kimi beyn\u0259lxalq layih\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 yaranan ciddi fasil\u0259 ola bil\u0259rdi. \u2026 Bu, s\u0259rmay\u0259l\u0259rin azalmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xara, \u00f6lk\u0259nin iqtisadiyyat\u0131na ciddi z\u0259rb\u0259 endir\u0259 v\u0259 siyasi v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti destabiliz\u0259 ed\u0259 bil\u0259rdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u015eahin Rzayev, Bak\u0131:\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cSon zamanlar Rusiya s\u00f6zs\u00fcz ki, Az\u0259rbaycana m\u00fcnasib\u0259td\u0259 daha f\u0259al olub. Rusiya Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0259razisind\u0259 Rusiya qo\u015funlar\u0131n\u0131n yerl\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si \u0259v\u0259zind\u0259 torpaqlar\u0131n bir hiss\u0259sini qaytarma\u011f\u0131 t\u0259klif edir. Az\u0259rbaycanda \u0259ks\u0259r insanlar bu ssenariy\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r \u2013 Abxaziya v\u0259 C\u0259nubi Osetiya misal\u0131nda Rusiya qo\u015funlar\u0131n\u0131n yeridilm\u0259sinin n\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaraca\u011f\u0131 ayd\u0131nd\u0131r. Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu, Qaraba\u011f\u0131n bird\u0259f\u0259lik itirilm\u0259si dem\u0259k olard\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bununla bel\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan hakimiyy\u0259ti Rusiyaya qar\u015f\u0131 q\u0259tiyy\u0259tli ola bilmir. Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, son zamanlar Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n xarici siyas\u0259tind\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n xeyrin\u0259 olan m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 \u00e7arpma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. D\u00fczd\u00fcr, \u018fliyevin Va\u015finqtona bu yax\u0131nlarda h\u0259yata ke\u00e7iril\u0259n s\u0259f\u0259ri onun h\u0259l\u0259 Rusiya ssenarisi il\u0259 raz\u0131la\u015fma\u011fa haz\u0131r olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Ola bilsin, alver olacaq ki, bu da t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li ola bil\u0259r.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan vasit\u0259\u00e7i kimi<\/span> <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u0259tic\u0259:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n ona vasit\u0259\u00e7i olma\u011fa v\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin\u0259 t\u0259sir etm\u0259y\u0259 imkan ver\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k n\u0259 resurslar\u0131, n\u0259 d\u0259 al\u0259tl\u0259ri var. Amma o, vasit\u0259\u00e7il\u0259r\u0259 m\u00fcnt\u0259z\u0259m m\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259r yeri olma\u011f\u0131 t\u0259klif ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. H\u0259m d\u0259 regionda Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259n yax\u015f\u0131 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri olan G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131 nizamlama prosesin\u0259 qo\u015fmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259yl\u0259rini bir az art\u0131ra bil\u0259r. Burada birc\u0259 m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 var \u2013 Erm\u0259nistan G\u00fcrc\u00fcstana bir vasit\u0259\u00e7i kimi etibar ed\u0259c\u0259kmi?<\/span><\/p>\n

Mamuka Are\u015fidze:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cG\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn regiondak\u0131 rolunu vur\u011fulamal\u0131, m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259\u00e7i kimi prosesl\u0259ri izl\u0259m\u0259li v\u0259 informasiya m\u0259kan\u0131nda vacib yer tutmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Elene Xo\u015ftariya:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cFikrimc\u0259, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n \u00f6z t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyi bax\u0131m\u0131ndan, \u0259sas v\u0259zif\u0259si Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n nizamlama prosesind\u0259 daha aktiv i\u015ftirak\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259min etm\u0259kdir. Misal \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn, yax\u015f\u0131 olard\u0131 ki, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin ilk k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fdiyi g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n xarici i\u015fl\u0259r naziri Br\u00fcssel\u0259 gedib, orada g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fl\u0259r ke\u00e7ir\u0259ydi v\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 n\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 onlar\u0131n post-faktum deyil, m\u0259hz indi i\u015ftirak\u0131n\u0131n vacibliyini izah ed\u0259ydi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tatul Akopyan, Yerevan:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cG\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fl\u0259rin Tbilisid\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkil olunmas\u0131na mane olan he\u00e7 n\u0259 yoxdur, amma Tbilisi birt\u0259r\u0259fli qaydada sovet Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n\u0131n \u0259razi b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc tan\u0131masayd\u0131, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n Erm\u0259nistan-Az\u0259rbaycan m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sind\u0259 rolu daha pozitiv ola bil\u0259rdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 v\u0259 dig\u0259r d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259r d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0259razi b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yir, amma onlar\u0131n Da\u011fl\u0131q Qaraba\u011f\u0131n h\u00fcquqi statusuna m\u00fcnasib\u0259ti el\u0259 d\u0259 birm\u0259nal\u0131 deyil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan erm\u0259nil\u0259rl\u0259 az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fcr-b\u00f6y\u00fcr\u0259 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259dir. Kvemo Kartlid\u0259 onlar\u0131n bir-biriyl\u0259 qon\u015fuluqda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u0259ndl\u0259r var. Bel\u0259likl\u0259 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n vasit\u0259\u00e7ilik t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259si var. D\u00fczd\u00fcr, Az\u0259rbaycan G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00f6y\u00fck \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t k\u0259sb edir, amma Qafqazdak\u0131 sabitlik h\u0259m d\u0259 g\u00fcrc\u00fc-erm\u0259ni m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Erm\u0259nil\u0259rl\u0259 az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n kompakt ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6lk\u0259 olan G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn riskl\u0259r<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

N\u0259tic\u0259:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Erm\u0259nil\u0259r G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u0259halisinin 6 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil edir, Az\u0259rbaycan icmas\u0131 da t\u0259xmin\u0259n bu q\u0259d\u0259rdir. Tbilisi daxili i\u011fti\u015fa\u015flar\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 almaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn n\u0259 etm\u0259lidir?<\/span><\/p>\n

Elene Xo\u015ftariya:<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstanda ya\u015fayan erm\u0259nil\u0259r v\u0259 az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar bu g\u00fcnl\u0259rd\u0259 [g\u0259rginlik g\u00fcnl\u0259rind\u0259] \u00e7ox da l\u0259yaq\u0259tli m\u00f6vqe tutdular ki, bu da <\/span>\u0259sas\u0259n asta, amma davaml\u0131 \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 ged\u0259n inteqrasiya prosesi say\u0259sind\u0259 ba\u015f tutdu. Son ill\u0259rd\u0259 bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli s\u0259rmay\u0259l\u0259r (v\u0259 t\u0259k maliyy\u0259 \u015f\u0259klind\u0259 deyil) qoyulub.<\/span><\/p>\n

Amma bu o dem\u0259k deyil ki, problem yoxdur. T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik xidm\u0259ti ay\u0131q olmal\u0131, daima monitorinq rejimind\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259m\u0259lidir ki, n\u0259 is\u0259 g\u00f6z\u00fcnd\u0259n qa\u00e7mas\u0131n. Ayd\u0131nd\u0131r ki, t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 var.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0259 ikinci \u0259n vacib m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 komunikasiyad\u0131r. Hakimiyy\u0259t v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flara onlar\u0131n ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015fd\u00fckl\u0259ri dild\u0259 informasiyan\u0131 \u00e7atd\u0131rmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130ctimai telekanalda 15 d\u0259qiq\u0259lik proqram kifay\u0259t etmir. Az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n v\u0259 erm\u0259nil\u0259rin m\u0259skunla\u015fd\u0131\u011f\u0131 regionlar\u00a0<\/span>k\u00fctl\u0259vi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Rusiya t\u0259bli\u011fat\u0131 il\u0259 \u201cqidalan\u0131r v\u0259 bu, b\u00f6y\u00fck problemdir.<\/span><\/p>\n

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