{"id":109074,"date":"2026-11-01T14:26:53","date_gmt":"2026-11-01T10:26:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/?p=109074"},"modified":"2026-11-01T14:54:52","modified_gmt":"2026-11-01T10:54:52","slug":"az%c9%99rbaycanda-neft-g%c9%99lirl%c9%99ri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/az%c9%99rbaycanda-neft-g%c9%99lirl%c9%99ri\/","title":{"rendered":"120 dollarl\u0131q neftd\u0259n b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 65 dollar \u00e7at\u0131r: b\u0259s art\u0131q g\u0259lir haraya gedir?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Az\u0259rbaycanda neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan<\/a> neftinin d\u00fcnya bazar\u0131nda qiym\u0259ti oktyabr ay\u0131nda 120-130 dollar \u0259traf\u0131nda olub, ay\u0131n 9-da is\u0259 133 dollara q\u0259d\u0259r qalx\u0131b. D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259si is\u0259 bir barelin 65 dollara sat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 f\u0259rziyy\u0259si il\u0259 haz\u0131rlan\u0131b. H\u00f6kum\u0259t 2027-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259sini d\u0259 eyni qiym\u0259tl\u0259 planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lakin neftin bahala\u015fmas\u0131 n\u0259 Neft Fondunun, n\u0259 d\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259rind\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259nil\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr. D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondunun oktyabr\u0131n 20-d\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hesabata<\/a> g\u00f6r\u0259, fondun aktivl\u0259ri ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259n b\u0259ri c\u0259mi 462 milyon dollar art\u0131b. Fonddan d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcl\u0259n v\u0259sait is\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259n 11,4 faiz az olub.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha \u0259vv\u0259l h\u00f6kum\u0259tin 2027-ci il b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259<\/a> Neft Fondundan k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259ni azaltma\u011f\u0131, maa\u015flardan tutulan g\u0259lir vergisini is\u0259 art\u0131rma\u011f\u0131 planla\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yazm\u0131\u015fd\u0131q. Bu d\u0259f\u0259 sual ba\u015fqad\u0131r:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Neftin qiym\u0259ti program\u0131ndan xeyli y\u00fcks\u0259kdirs\u0259, art\u0131q g\u0259lir haraya gedir?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

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\n\tAz\u0259rbaycan\u0131n 2027-ci il b\u00fcdc\u0259si: neftd\u0259n azalan v\u0259sait nec\u0259 tamamlanacaq?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 neft-qaz sektorundan daha az v\u0259sait daxil olaca\u011f\u0131, vergil\u0259rd\u0259n is\u0259 daha \u00e7ox pul y\u0131\u011f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259 niy\u0259 65 dollar yaz\u0131l\u0131r?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

H\u00f6kum\u0259t h\u0259r il b\u00fcdc\u0259ni haz\u0131rlayanda neftin il \u0259rzind\u0259 orta hesabla ne\u00e7\u0259y\u0259 sat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 f\u0259rz edir. Vergi v\u0259 dig\u0259r g\u0259lirl\u0259r bu f\u0259rziyy\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n hesablan\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maliyy\u0259 naziri Sahil Babayev 2025-ci ilin noyabr\u0131nda parlamentd\u0259 demi\u015fdi<\/a> ki, 2026-c\u0131 il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 65 dollar 22 t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n orta proqnozuna \u0259saslan\u0131r. O vaxt Brent markal\u0131 neftin qiym\u0259ti 64-65 dollar idi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u0259ziyy\u0259t ilin \u0259vv\u0259lind\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fib. Neft Fondu iyul hesabat\u0131nda AB\u015e il\u0259 \u0130ran aras\u0131nda ba\u015flayan m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin enerji bazarlar\u0131nda “y\u00fcks\u0259k volatillik” yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yaz\u0131r. M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n Statistika departamentinin direktoru Samir Nasirovun sentyabrda a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/a> m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, ilin ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan neftinin orta sat\u0131\u015f qiym\u0259ti 94,5 dollar olub. Bu, \u00f6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259n 33 faiz, b\u00fcdc\u0259d\u0259ki f\u0259rziyy\u0259d\u0259n is\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 45 faiz \u00e7oxdur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyinin ilkin g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rin\u0259<\/a> g\u00f6r\u0259, 2027-ci ilin b\u00fcdc\u0259si d\u0259 65 dollarla hesablan\u0131b. Halbuki nazirliyin 2027-2030-cu ill\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ortam\u00fcdd\u0259tli X\u0259rcl\u0259r \u00c7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 neftin g\u0259l\u0259n il 65 dollardan ucuz sat\u0131lmas\u0131 ehtimal\u0131<\/a> “az” qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilir. Y\u0259ni b\u00fcdc\u0259 nazirliyin \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0259n pis senari kimi g\u00f6rd\u00fcy\u00fc qiym\u0259t\u0259 yax\u0131n bir r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259 hesablan\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u0259rziyy\u0259nin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259si o dem\u0259kdir ki, art\u0131q g\u0259lir b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 yox, fonda gedir. \u0130qtisad\u00e7\u0131 Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli h\u0259l\u0259 martda, qiym\u0259tl\u0259r qalxma\u011fa ba\u015flayanda Axar.az-a<\/a> bunu demi\u015fdi. Onun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, t\u0259sir “birba\u015fa d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 deyil”, Neft Fondunun da daxil oldu\u011fu icmal b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k. C\u0259f\u0259rlinin hesablamas\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, qiym\u0259tin h\u0259r 1 dollar artmas\u0131 fonda g\u00fcnd\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 450 min dollar \u0259lav\u0259 g\u0259lir g\u0259tirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00f6kum\u0259t\u0259 yax\u0131n m\u00f6vqed\u0259n baxanlar is\u0259 bu g\u0259liri t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik x\u0259rcl\u0259ri \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ehtiyat kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcrl\u0259r. Milli M\u0259clisin iqtisadi siyas\u0259t komit\u0259sinin \u00fczv\u00fc V\u00fcqar Bayramov martda OC Media-ya<\/a> deyib ki, \u0259lav\u0259 g\u0259lir h\u00f6kum\u0259t\u0259 “milli t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik kimi prioritet sah\u0259l\u0259ri” maliyy\u0259l\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259y\u0259 imkan ver\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tNeft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri azalark\u0259n g\u0259l\u0259n 85 milyard dollar: Bak\u0131 valyuta ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6zl\u0259nilm\u0259z art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 nec\u0259 idar\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Art\u0131m neft-qaz sektorundak\u0131 z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259, ixrac\u0131n daralmas\u0131 v\u0259 SOFAZ-\u0131n birba\u015fa neft-qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin azalmas\u0131 fonunda ba\u015f verib.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Az\u0259rbaycan\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Qiym\u0259t artanda b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 niy\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 pul g\u0259lmir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Neft Fondunun il \u0259rzind\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r v\u0259sait k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcr\u0259c\u0259yi il ba\u015flamazdan \u0259vv\u0259l fondun b\u00fcdc\u0259sind\u0259<\/a> m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdirilir. Maliyy\u0259 Nazirliyinin m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, yanvar-sentyabr aylar\u0131nda fond b\u00fcdc\u0259y\u0259 9,628 milyard manat k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcb v\u0259 bu r\u0259q\u0259m proqnozla tam \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. \u00d6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fc il\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 is\u0259 k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259 1,23 milyard manat azal\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 neft-qaz sektorundan c\u0259mi 12,93 milyard manat daxil olub. Bu, proqnozdan 625,5 milyon manat, y\u0259ni 5,1 faiz \u00e7oxdur. Fondun k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259si plana b\u0259rab\u0259r oldu\u011fu \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn art\u0131q m\u0259bl\u0259\u011f neft \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rinin \u00f6d\u0259diyi vergil\u0259rd\u0259n g\u0259lib. Nazirliyin m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, “\u015eahd\u0259niz” layih\u0259si \u00fczr\u0259 1,54 milyard manat, SOCAR-dan 1,3 milyard manat, “Az\u0259ri-\u00c7\u0131raq-G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fli” layih\u0259si \u00fczr\u0259 is\u0259 461 milyon manat vergi toplan\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fckd\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sinin 9 ayl\u0131q g\u0259lirl\u0259ri proqnozdan 2,8 faiz \u00e7ox olub. Ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259, ilk yar\u0131da neftin qiym\u0259ti plan\u0131 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 45 faiz \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259yib, b\u00fcdc\u0259nin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri is\u0259 c\u0259mi 2,8 faiz.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tValyuta ehtiyat\u0131 kimi 90 milyard\u0131 saxlamaq, yoxsa rifaha x\u0259rcl\u0259m\u0259k? – az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131 ke\u00e7mi\u015f m\u00fcxalif\u0259t lideri n\u0259 t\u0259klif edir?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Siyas\u0259t\u00e7i \u0130lqar M\u0259mm\u0259dov Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n 90 milyard dollarl\u0131q valyuta ehtiyat\u0131 saxlamas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259nqid edib.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Pul fondda qal\u0131rsa, fond niy\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u00fcr?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Neft Fondunun hesabat\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, art\u0131q g\u0259lirin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259si fonda da \u00e7atmay\u0131b v\u0259 ya ba\u015fqa x\u0259rcl\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259riyib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neft Fondu, 2026-c\u0131 ilin yanvar-sentyabr aylar\u0131 (milyon manatla):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6st\u0259rici<\/th>M\u0259bl\u0259\u011f<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
M\u0259nf\u0259\u0259t neftinin v\u0259 qaz\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan g\u0259lir<\/td>7 343,9<\/td><\/tr>
“C\u0259nub Qaz D\u0259hlizi”nd\u0259 d\u00f6vl\u0259t pay\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan daxilolma<\/td>1 390,9<\/td><\/tr>
Dig\u0259r neft-qaz g\u0259lirl\u0259ri<\/td>5,8<\/td><\/tr>
V\u0259saitl\u0259rin idar\u0259 edilm\u0259sind\u0259n g\u0259lir<\/td>3 600,7<\/td><\/tr>
C\u0259mi g\u0259lir<\/strong><\/td>12 341,3<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
D\u00f6vl\u0259t b\u00fcdc\u0259sin\u0259 k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259<\/td>-9 628,0<\/td><\/tr>
Layih\u0259 v\u0259 idar\u0259etm\u0259 x\u0259rcl\u0259ri<\/td>-53,2<\/td><\/tr>
Q\u0131z\u0131l\u0131n qiym\u0259ti v\u0259 m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259sind\u0259n itki<\/td>-1 874,0<\/td><\/tr>
Fondun art\u0131m\u0131<\/strong><\/td>786,1<\/strong> (t\u0259xmin\u0259n 462 milyon dollar)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
M\u0259nb\u0259: D\u00f6vl\u0259t Neft Fondu. Son s\u0259tir “CAMnyus”un hesablamas\u0131d\u0131r v\u0259 fondun a\u00e7\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktivl\u0259rin art\u0131m\u0131 il\u0259 \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

C\u0259dv\u0259ld\u0259n \u00fc\u00e7 n\u0259tic\u0259 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n