{"id":104633,"date":"2026-04-14T01:46:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T21:46:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/?p=104633"},"modified":"2026-04-14T12:45:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:45:29","slug":"c%c9%99nubi-qafqaz-iqtisadiyyati","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/c%c9%99nubi-qafqaz-iqtisadiyyati\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u0259nubi Qafqazda iqtisadi dinamika: Az\u0259rbaycanda niy\u0259 daral\u0131r, qon\u015fular niy\u0259 daha s\u00fcr\u0259tli b\u00f6y\u00fcy\u00fcr?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

C\u0259nubi Qafqaz iqtisadiyyat\u0131<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u00e7\u0131qlanan r\u0259smi statistikaya g\u00f6r\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan<\/a> iqtisadiyyat\u0131 2026-c\u0131 ilin I r\u00fcb\u00fcnd\u0259 \u00f6t\u0259n ilin eyni d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n real ifad\u0259d\u0259 0,3% ki\u00e7ilib.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00f6vl\u0259t Statistika Komit\u0259si (DSK) bu d\u00f6vrd\u0259 neft-qaz sektorunda \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259rin 1,2% azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, qeyri neft-qaz sektorunda art\u0131m\u0131n is\u0259 c\u0259mi 0,2% oldu\u011funu bildirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eyni vaxtda G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan<\/a> v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n<\/a> cari g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259ri m\u00fcsb\u0259t art\u0131ma i\u015far\u0259 edir.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tTbilisid\u0259 Heyd\u0259r \u018fliyev ad\u0131na M\u0259d\u0259niyy\u0259t M\u0259rk\u0259zinin tikintisi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn be\u015f ail\u0259nin \u0259mlak\u0131 \u0259lind\u0259n al\u0131nacaq\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n M\u0259d\u0259niyy\u0259t m\u0259rk\u0259zinin tikintisinin planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0259raziy\u0259 “ictimai ehtiyaclar \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn z\u0259ruri” statusu verilib\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"\"\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

R\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259r n\u0259yi g\u00f6st\u0259rir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n r\u00fcbl\u00fck \u00dcDM m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259 2026-c\u0131 ilin yanvar-mart\u0131nda 29,703.2 milyon manatl\u0131q \u00dcDM istehsal olunub. \u00dcDM strukturunda s\u0259nayenin pay\u0131 33,5%, ticar\u0259t v\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat vasit\u0259l\u0259rinin t\u0259mirinin pay\u0131 11,3%, n\u0259qliyyat v\u0259 anbar t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131 7,1%, tikintinin pay\u0131 4,6% kimi g\u00f6st\u0259rilir; yerl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259 v\u0259 ictimai ia\u015f\u0259 (turizml\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131) 3,2%, informasiya v\u0259 rabit\u0259 2,0% t\u0259\u015fkil edir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstanda “Geostat”\u0131n fevral 2026 \u00fczr\u0259 s\u00fcr\u0259tli qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259si \u00dcDM art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 8,8%, yanvar-fevral \u00fczr\u0259 orta art\u0131m\u0131 is\u0259 8,4% g\u00f6st\u0259rir<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistanda is\u0259 Statistika Komit\u0259sinin operativ m\u0259lumat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259 yanvar-fevral 2026-da iqtisadi aktivlik g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi 107,4 olub<\/a> (illik m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 +7,4%).<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tAz\u0259rbaycanda problemli kreditl\u0259r niy\u0259 art\u0131r?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Bu, krediti g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u0259n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn stress, bank \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn risk, iqtisadiyyat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn is\u0259 x\u0259b\u0259rdarl\u0131q siqnal\u0131d\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Az\u0259rbaycanda\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycanda daralma niy\u0259 ba\u015f verib?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Daralman\u0131n mexanikas\u0131 r\u0259smi statistikada a\u00e7\u0131q g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. R\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259r\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n, neft-qaz sektorunda \u0259lav\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r -1,2% olub, qeyri neft-qaz sektorunda art\u0131m is\u0259 c\u0259mi +0,2% t\u0259\u015fkil edib. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259, enerji sektorundak\u0131 eni\u015f qeyri-neftd\u0259ki art\u0131m\u0131 \u00fcst\u0259l\u0259yib v\u0259 \u00dcDM m\u0259nfi zonaya ke\u00e7ib.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259ni izah ed\u0259n faktorlardan biri neft yataqlar\u0131n\u0131n yetkinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si v\u0259 hasilat\u0131n t\u0259bii azalmas\u0131d\u0131r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energetika Nazirliyinin r\u0259smi statistik infoqrafikas\u0131nda<\/a> \u00fcmumi neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n 2010-cu ild\u0259 50,8 milyon tondan 2025-ci ild\u0259 27,7 milyon tona d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259si g\u00f6st\u0259rilir. A\u00c7G blokunda is\u0259 hasilat\u0131n 2010-cu ild\u0259 40,5 milyon tondan 2025-ci ild\u0259 16,2 milyon tona enm\u0259si g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr. Bu uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli azalma fonunda neft-qaz sektorunda h\u0259tta ki\u00e7ik eni\u015fl\u0259r bel\u0259 \u00fcmumi g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r\u0259 daha tez \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I r\u00fcbd\u0259 \u0259lav\u0259 z\u0259iflik tikintid\u0259ki k\u0259skin eni\u015fdir. DSK tikintid\u0259 real ifad\u0259d\u0259 19,8% azalma qeyd\u0259 al\u0131b. Qeyri-neftd\u0259 b\u0259zi m\u00fcsb\u0259t siqnallar var (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, informasiya v\u0259 rabit\u0259d\u0259 9,2% art\u0131m), lakin bu sah\u0259nin \u00dcDM-d\u0259 pay\u0131 2,0% oldu\u011fundan, onun m\u00fcsb\u0259t t\u0259siri miqyas bax\u0131m\u0131ndan m\u0259hdud qal\u0131r. Bu o dem\u0259kdir ki, art\u0131m var, amma miqyas\u0131 azd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tAb\u015ferondak\u0131 yeni \u201celektrik anbar\u0131\u201d- Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n ilk batareya saxlanc\u0131 \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259y\u0259 n\u0259 verir, regiona n\u0259 v\u0259d edir?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n \u015e\u0259b\u0259k\u0259 \u201cistehsal et v\u0259 \u00f6t\u00fcr\u201d modellind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131x\u0131b \u201cistehsal et-y\u0131\u011f-payla-idar\u0259 et\u201d modelin\u0259 ke\u00e7m\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. \n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n art\u0131m\u0131 \u0259sas\u0259n haradan g\u0259lir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131n fevral 2026 \u00fczr\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259si art\u0131m\u0131n bir ne\u00e7\u0259 sektordan g\u0259ldiyini g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Bunlar informasiya v\u0259 kommunikasiya, n\u0259qliyyat v\u0259 anbar t\u0259s\u0259rr\u00fcfat\u0131, maliyy\u0259 v\u0259 s\u0131\u011forta, emal s\u0259nayesi v\u0259 m\u0259d\u0259n\u00e7\u0131xarmad\u0131r. Eyni s\u0259n\u0259dd\u0259 tikinti v\u0259 energetikada is\u0259 azalma qeyd olunur. Bu, art\u0131m\u0131n bir sah\u0259y\u0259 y\u00fckl\u0259nm\u0259diyini, daha paylanm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turizm v\u0259 xidm\u0259t sektoru da G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00f6n\u0259mlidir. G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan parlamentinin B\u00fcdc\u0259 Ofisinin fevral icmal\u0131nda (Geostat\u0131n yanvar \u00fczr\u0259 ilkin qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259sin\u0259 istinadla) iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n \u0259sas m\u00fcsb\u0259t t\u00f6hf\u0259 ver\u0259n sah\u0259l\u0259ri s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u201cotel v\u0259 restoranlar\u201d g\u00f6st\u0259rilir. H\u0259min icmal yanvar ay\u0131nda pul k\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcrm\u0259l\u0259rinin 282,6 milyon AB\u015e dollar\u0131 oldu\u011funu da qeyd edir.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistanda yanvar-fevral \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iqtisadi aktivlik g\u00f6st\u0259ricisinin 7,4% art\u0131m\u0131 da sektoral olaraq geni\u015f bazal\u0131d\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, s\u0259naye istehsal\u0131 17,2%, tikinti 20,5%, xidm\u0259tl\u0259r (ticar\u0259t istisna) 7,2% art\u0131b; ticar\u0259t d\u00f6vriyy\u0259si d\u0259 3,3% y\u00fcks\u0259lib. Bu kombinasiya daxili iqtisadi d\u00f6vriyy\u0259nin eyni vaxtda bir ne\u00e7\u0259 s\u00fctunda geni\u015fl\u0259ndiyini g\u00f6st\u0259rir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\u201c900 milyon dollarl\u0131q ixrac, 27% art\u0131m\u201d x\u0259b\u0259rl\u0259ri: sevin\u0259k, yoxsa sual ver\u0259k?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n R\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259r \u201cn\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259rdir?\u201d, \u201cniy\u0259 art\u0131b?\u201d kimi suallarla birlikd\u0259 oxunmayanda, oxucuda yanl\u0131\u015f t\u0259\u0259ss\u00fcrat yarad\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"R\u0259smi\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Regional m\u00fcqayis\u0259: n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r niy\u0259 f\u0259rql\u0259nir?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn neft-qaz sektorunun dominantl\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u0259m art\u0131m, h\u0259m d\u0259 eni\u015f fazalar\u0131nda makro g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r\u0259 daha g\u00fccl\u00fc t\u0259sir anlam\u0131na g\u0259lir. D\u00fcnya Bank\u0131 hidrokarbonlara y\u00fcks\u0259k ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n – azalan neft hasilat\u0131, qiym\u0259t volatilliyi v\u0259 qlobal enerji ke\u00e7idi il\u0259 birlikd\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli art\u0131m \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas h\u0259ssasl\u0131q yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vur\u011fulay\u0131r<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu tip struktur f\u0259rqi xarici ticar\u0259td\u0259 d\u0259 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6st\u0259rir. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, AB\u015e Beyn\u0259lxalq Ticar\u0259t Administrasiyas\u0131 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 enerji m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u00fcmumi ixrac\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259xmin\u0259n 87%-ni t\u0259\u015fkil etdiyini qeyd edir.<\/a> Bel\u0259 as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131q hasilat v\u0259 qiym\u0259t d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259rinin daha tez real sektora \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fclm\u0259li oldu\u011funa i\u015far\u0259dir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan is\u0259 daha \u00e7ox xidm\u0259tl\u0259r, logistika v\u0259 \u0130T kimi sah\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n g\u0259l\u0259n paylanm\u0131\u015f art\u0131mla ir\u0259lil\u0259yir. Bu, bir sah\u0259d\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259 olsa bel\u0259, dig\u0259r sah\u0259l\u0259rin qism\u0259n kompensasiya etm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tErm\u0259nistanda pensiyalar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131: iqtisadi art\u0131m\u0131n n\u0259tic\u0259si, yoxsa se\u00e7icil\u0259rin \u0259l\u0259 al\u0131nmas\u0131?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n H\u00f6kum\u0259tin pensiyalar\u0131 art\u0131rmaq q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcxalif\u0259t se\u00e7kiqaba\u011f\u0131 \u0259l\u0259alma kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirib. Hakimiyy\u0259t is\u0259 bildirir ki, bu add\u0131m iqtisadi art\u0131m g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rinin proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131landan y\u00fcks\u0259k olmas\u0131 say\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olub.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"\"\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli n\u0259tic\u0259, riskl\u0259r v\u0259 f\u00fcrs\u0259tl\u0259r<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

2026-c\u0131 ilin I r\u00fcb n\u0259tic\u0259si diversifikasiya ehtiyac\u0131n\u0131 yenid\u0259n \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131r. Qeyri-neft sektorunun 0,2% kimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 art\u0131m\u0131, neft-qazdak\u0131 eni\u015fi kompensasiya etm\u0259y\u0259 yetmir. Bununla bel\u0259 DSK-n\u0131n r\u0259smi m\u0259lumat\u0131nda \u0130KT, ticar\u0259t, turizm v\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat kimi sah\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 m\u00fcsb\u0259t dinamika g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr; qeyri-neft art\u0131m\u0131 m\u0259hz bu sah\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 daha geni\u015f miqyas qazanarsa, iqtisadi dal\u011falanma azal\u0131r v\u0259 dayan\u0131ql\u0131l\u0131q art\u0131r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Riskl\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259 neft yataqlar\u0131nda hasilat\u0131n t\u0259bii azalmas\u0131n\u0131n davam\u0131 v\u0259 tikinti kimi sah\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 volatillik dayan\u0131r. F\u00fcrs\u0259tl\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259 is\u0259 daha y\u00fcks\u0259k m\u0259hsuldarl\u0131q yaradan qeyri-neft sah\u0259l\u0259rinin b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u0259si v\u0259 onlar\u0131n \u00dcDM-d\u0259 pay\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 durur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Orta m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 \u0259sas m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 qeyri-neft art\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259kc\u0259 faizl\u0259 deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00dcDM-d\u0259 payla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u0259n miqyas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6y\u00fcm\u0259sidir. Bel\u0259 ki, DSK-n\u0131n I r\u00fcb r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259rind\u0259 \u0130KT v\u0259 ticar\u0259t artsa da, tikintid\u0259 k\u0259skin eni\u015f var. Bu n\u00fcans art\u0131m\u0131n daha \u00e7ox sah\u0259y\u0259 yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 investisiyan\u0131n daha sabit ritml\u0259 davam etm\u0259sinin n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r vacib oldu\u011funu g\u00f6st\u0259rir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regionda G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n y\u00fcks\u0259k temp n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirdiyi \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn regional r\u0259qab\u0259t m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259si d\u0259 iqtisadi m\u0259zmun k\u0259sb edir. \u00d6lk\u0259nin daha stabil art\u0131m modeli t\u0259kc\u0259 cari \u00dcDM r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259ri \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn deyil, investisiya v\u0259 biznes m\u00fchitind\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259rin formala\u015fmas\u0131 bax\u0131m\u0131ndan da \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli ola bil\u0259r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tG\u00fcrc\u00fcstan "Orta d\u0259hliz"d\u0259: Anakliya liman\u0131, sualt\u0131 kabel v\u0259 yeni mar\u015frutlar\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Avropa Komissiyas\u0131n\u0131n ara\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131 G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan\u0131 Asiya il\u0259 Avropa aras\u0131nda \u0259n m\u00fch\u00fcm tranzit h\u0259lq\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n biri adland\u0131r\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"\"\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

C\u0259nubi Qafqaz iqtisadiyyat\u0131<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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