{"id":103827,"date":"2026-03-10T02:06:05","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T22:06:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/?p=103827"},"modified":"2026-03-19T15:12:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:12:02","slug":"iran-muharib%c9%99si-fonunda-az%c9%99rbaycan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/iran-muharib%c9%99si-fonunda-az%c9%99rbaycan\/","title":{"rendered":"Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n AB\u015e-\u0130srail v\u0259 \u0130ran m\u00fcharib\u0259si fonunda g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri n\u0259l\u0259rdir? H\u0259rbi m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 riski varm\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u0130ran m\u00fcharib\u0259si fonunda Az\u0259rbaycan<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e v\u0259 \u0130srailin \u0130rana<\/a> qar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015f\u011fal c\u0259hdi (AB\u015e t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n \u201cOperation Epic Fury\u201d ad\u0131 il\u0259 t\u0259qdim olunur) q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 regional m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259d\u0259n \u201cco\u011frafiyas\u0131 s\u00fcr\u0259tl\u0259 geni\u015fl\u0259n\u0259n\u201d bir m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7evrilib.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259nin birba\u015fa \u201cAz\u0259rbaycan<\/a> s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rin\u0259 toxunmas\u0131\u201d (v\u0259 ya \u0259n az\u0131 toxundu\u011fu iddias\u0131) 5 martda Nax\u00e7\u0131van Muxtar Respublikas\u0131nda ba\u015f ver\u0259n Pilotsuz U\u00e7u\u015f Aparat\u0131 (PUA) insidentl\u0259ri il\u0259 yeni, daha h\u0259ssas bir fazaya ke\u00e7ib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan Xarici \u0130\u015fl\u0259r Nazirliyinin (X\u0130N) r\u0259smi b\u0259yanat\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259r \u0130ran \u0259razisind\u0259n Nax\u00e7\u0131vana edilib. PUA-lardan biri aeroport terminal\u0131na d\u0259yib v\u0259 m\u00fclki \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259r x\u0259sar\u0259t al\u0131b, dig\u0259ri is\u0259 \u015e\u0259k\u0259rabad k\u0259ndind\u0259 m\u0259kt\u0259b yax\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u0259sdiql\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259n iddialara g\u00f6r\u0259, PUA-lardan biri is\u0259 Nax\u00e7\u0131vanda yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n h\u0259rbi hiss\u0259nin yem\u0259kxanas\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran t\u0259r\u0259fi bu insidentin m\u0259suliyy\u0259tini r\u0259smi olaraq t\u0259kzib edib<\/a>. B\u0259zi \u0130ran m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 Tehranla ba\u011fl\u0131 platformalar bunu \u201c\u0130srailin t\u0259xribat\u0131\u201d kimi \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259l\u0259ndirib.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu qar\u015f\u0131l\u0131ql\u0131 ittihamlar fonunda Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas problem t\u0259kc\u0259 \u201cs\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik\u201d deyil. Nax\u00e7\u0131van\u0131n co\u011frafi t\u0259cridi, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0130ranla uzun s\u0259rh\u0259di, enerji v\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat layih\u0259l\u0259ri m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259ri, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0130srail v\u0259 Q\u0259rbl\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n Tehran\u0131n Bak\u0131n\u0131 \u201cikinci h\u0259d\u0259f dair\u0259sin\u0259\u201d salmaq ehtimal\u0131 da var.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bak\u0131n\u0131n \u0259n real g\u00f6zl\u0259ntisi m\u00fcharib\u0259nin tez lokalla\u015fmas\u0131 v\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259r\u0259 yay\u0131lmamas\u0131d\u0131r; r\u0259smi b\u0259yanatlar da m\u0259hz eskalasiyan\u0131n dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 t\u0259mkinlik \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tPrezident \u0130lham \u018fliyev: \u201c\u0130ran t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycana qar\u015f\u0131 terror akt\u0131 t\u00f6r\u0259dilib\u201d\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Az\u0259rbaycan bu hadis\u0259y\u0259 \u00fczr ist\u0259nilm\u0259sini v\u0259 m\u0259sul \u015f\u0259xsl\u0259rin c\u0259zaland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259b edir.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Prezident\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

R\u0259smi Bak\u0131: suverenlik \u201cq\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 x\u0259tti\u201d v\u0259 d\u0259rhal at\u0131lan add\u0131mlar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

R\u0259smi Bak\u0131n\u0131n son aylarda (m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n \u00f6nc\u0259) formala\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 baza x\u0259tt bel\u0259 idi: Az\u0259rbaycan \u00f6z hava m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 \u0259razisinin h\u0259r hans\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc t\u0259r\u0259f t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n \u0130rana qar\u015f\u0131 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlarda istifad\u0259 edilm\u0259sin\u0259 \u201che\u00e7 vaxt imkan verm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259yini\u201d vur\u011fulay\u0131rd\u0131. Bu m\u00f6vqe 29 yanvarda Bak\u0131-Tehran X\u0130N r\u0259hb\u0259rl\u0259rinin telefon dan\u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan X\u0130N-in m\u0259lumat\u0131 \u0259sas\u0131nda d\u0259rc olunmu\u015f x\u0259b\u0259rd\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 t\u0259sbit edilib.<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00fcharib\u0259 ba\u015flayandan d\u0259rhal sonra is\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan X\u0130N 28 fevraldak\u0131 b\u0259yanat\u0131nda \u201cregional h\u0259rbi eskalasiya\u201dn\u0131 ciddi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 sayaraq t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259ri maksimum t\u0259mkin\u0259 v\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlara \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131b<\/a>. Bu, Bak\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 \u201ch\u0259r hans\u0131 koalisiya \u00fczv\u00fc kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259m\u0259k\u201d ist\u0259yi il\u0259 uy\u011fun g\u0259lir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nax\u00e7\u0131vanda ba\u015f ver\u0259n insidentd\u0259n sonra is\u0259 r\u0259smi ritorika s\u0259rtl\u0259\u015fib: Az\u0259rbaycan X\u0130N 5 mart tarixli b\u0259yanatda<\/a> h\u00fccumlar\u0131 q\u0259tiyy\u0259tl\u0259 pisl\u0259yib, bunun beyn\u0259lxalq h\u00fcquqa zidd oldu\u011funu bildirib, \u0130randan q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 ayd\u0131n izahat v\u0259 ara\u015fd\u0131rma t\u0259l\u0259b edib v\u0259 \u201cm\u00fcvafiq cavab t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri g\u00f6rm\u0259k h\u00fcququnu\u201d \u00f6z\u00fcnd\u0259 saxlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 b\u0259yan edib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eyni g\u00fcn Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyevin<\/a> T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u015euras\u0131n\u0131n iclas\u0131ndak\u0131 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f\u0131 insidenti \u201cAz\u0259rbaycan d\u00f6vl\u0259tin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 terror akt\u0131\u201d kimi \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259l\u0259ndirib. O, \u0130randan izahat v\u0259 \u00fczrxahl\u0131q t\u0259l\u0259b edib v\u0259 Silahl\u0131 Q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin \u201cbir n\u00f6mr\u0259li s\u0259f\u0259rb\u0259rlik v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin\u0259\u201d g\u0259tirildiyini a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu prosesin diplomatik \u201cyum\u015faltma\u201d c\u0259hdl\u0259ri d\u0259 paralel gedib. 8 martda \u0130ran Prezidenti M\u0259sud Peze\u015fkian\u0131n Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyev\u0259 telefon z\u0259ngi bar\u0259d\u0259 Prezident Administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n r\u0259smi m\u0259lumat\u0131nda<\/a> Peze\u015fkian\u0131n Nax\u00e7\u0131vandak\u0131 insidentin \u0130ranla \u0259laq\u0259si olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dediyi v\u0259 ara\u015fd\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdiyi qeyd olunur.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u0259smi reaksiyan\u0131n daha bir komponenti \u201cxarici siyasi dayaqlar\u0131n\u201d n\u00fcmayi\u015fidir. Az\u0259rbaycan X\u0130N-in 7 martdak\u0131 \u015f\u0259rhind\u0259<\/a> AB\u015e D\u00f6vl\u0259t Departamentinin \u0130ran\u0131n dron h\u00fccumlar\u0131n\u0131 q\u0131namas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcks\u0259k qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirildiyi, bunun AB\u015e-Az\u0259rbaycan Strateji T\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q Xartiyas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cruhuna uy\u011fun\u201d oldu\u011fu vur\u011fulan\u0131r v\u0259 AB\u015e d\u0259st\u0259yinin x\u00fcsusi \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259ti qeyd edilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu, Bak\u0131n\u0131n bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n \u201cneytrall\u0131q\u201d iddias\u0131n\u0131 saxlay\u0131b, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n \u201ct\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik z\u0259man\u0259ti axtar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131\u201d g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259si kimi oxuna bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\u0130ran Nax\u00e7\u0131vana dron h\u00fccumunu t\u0259kzib edib: "Biz qon\u015fu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259 endirmirik"\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00fccumun \u0130ran \u0259razisind\u0259n h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irildiyini iddia edir v\u0259 m\u0259suliyy\u0259tin onlara aid oldu\u011funu bildirir.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Nax\u00e7\u0131vana\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

H\u00f6kum\u0259t\u0259 yax\u0131n platformalarda dominant narrativl\u0259r<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n informasiya m\u0259kan\u0131nda (h\u00f6kum\u0259t medias\u0131 v\u0259 ona yax\u0131n platformalarda) Nax\u00e7\u0131van insidenti ad\u0259t\u0259n \u00fc\u00e7 blokla \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259l\u0259nir: birincisi, hadis\u0259nin \u201cm\u00fclki infrastruktura\u201d z\u0259rb\u0259 olmas\u0131 v\u0259 bunun \u201ct\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u015foku\u201d yaratmas\u0131; ikincisi, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u201ch\u00fcquqi v\u0259 h\u0259rbi-siyasi cavab h\u00fcququ\u201d; \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc is\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n t\u0259kzibi v\u0259 \u201ct\u0259xribat\u201d ehtimal\u0131n\u0131n informasiya m\u00fcbariz\u0259si kimi g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259lm\u0259si.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00f6vzu alt\u0131nda yay\u0131lan analitik m\u0259tnl\u0259<\/a>r Nax\u00e7\u0131van aeroportunun s\u0259rh\u0259d\u0259 yax\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, m\u00fcharib\u0259nin alt\u0131nc\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcnd\u0259 \u201cxaotik geni\u015fl\u0259nm\u0259\u201d riskl\u0259rini, hava h\u00fccumundan m\u00fcdafi\u0259, s\u0259rh\u0259d boyunca \u0259lav\u0259 dislokasiyalar kimi ehtimallar\u0131 m\u00fczakir\u0259 edir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130qtisadi-logistika t\u0259r\u0259fi d\u0259 x\u0259b\u0259rl\u0259\u015fm\u0259d\u0259 m\u0259rk\u0259z\u0259 g\u0259lir: Az\u0259rbaycan h\u00f6kum\u0259tinin r\u0259smi q\u0259rar\u0131 il\u0259 5 martdan etibar\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan-\u0130ran s\u0259rh\u0259dind\u0259 y\u00fck da\u015f\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131n (o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n tranzitin) m\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 q\u0259rar yay\u0131mlan\u0131b<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu informativ x\u0259ttin daha bir real n\u0259tic\u0259si hava m\u0259kan\u0131na aiddir: “Fayn\u0259n\u015fl Tayms” (Financial Times) Nax\u00e7\u0131van insidentind\u0259n sonra Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n c\u0259nub hava m\u0259kan\u0131n\u0131 ba\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n Avropa-Asiya reysl\u0259rini daha dar d\u0259hliz\u0259 s\u0131xd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 avia\u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rin mar\u015frut v\u0259 yanacaq planlamas\u0131na t\u0259sir etdiyini yaz\u0131r<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Burada Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201cg\u00f6zl\u0259nti\u201d bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyi t\u0259min etm\u0259k, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n is\u0259 \u201cregional tranzit qov\u015fa\u011f\u0131\u201d imicin\u0259 z\u0259rb\u0259ni minimuma endirm\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tR\u0259y: \u0130ran niy\u0259 m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259ri Rusiya v\u0259 \u00c7inin yard\u0131m\u0131na arxalanmamal\u0131d\u0131r\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n CNBC: “AB\u015e il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rd\u0259 g\u0259rginliyin azald\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n qorunmas\u0131 \u00c7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn strateji prioritetdir. Rusiya is\u0259 Ukraynada apard\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli yorucu m\u00fcharib\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259yib”\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"\"\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ran daxilind\u0259 \u201cidar\u0259olunmazl\u0131q\u201d tezisi, n\u0259qliyyat layih\u0259l\u0259ri v\u0259 qa\u00e7q\u0131n senarisi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

H\u00f6k\u00fcm\u0259t\u0259 yax\u0131n politoloq Elxan \u015eahino\u011flunun a\u00e7\u0131qlamalar\u0131nda iki x\u0259tt paralel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr: birinci x\u0259tt \u0130randak\u0131 q\u0259rarverm\u0259nin \u201crasionall\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 itirm\u0259si v\u0259 idar\u0259olunmazla\u015fmas\u0131\u201d, ikinci x\u0259tt is\u0259 bunun Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n layih\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyin\u0259 t\u0259siri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nax\u00e7\u0131van insidentinin el\u0259 ilk saatlar\u0131nda \u015eahino\u011flu bunu \u0130ran\u0131n \u201c\u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck s\u0259hvi\u201d kimi t\u0259qdim edir v\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n s\u0259rt diplomatik cavab ver\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r<\/a>; o, Nax\u00e7\u0131vanda AB\u015e bazas\u0131n\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 xat\u0131rladaraq \u0130ran\u0131n \u201cb\u0259han\u0259 bazas\u0131n\u0131\u201d z\u0259if g\u00f6r\u00fcr.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daha sonra verdiyi ba\u015fqa a\u00e7\u0131qlamada<\/a> is\u0259 \u0130ran daxilind\u0259 faktiki g\u00fcc\u00fcn SEPAH generallar\u0131na ke\u00e7diyini, ali liderin \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc, yeni lider se\u00e7ilm\u0259diyini v\u0259 Peze\u015fkian\u0131n s\u0259lahiyy\u0259tinin z\u0259if oldu\u011funu dey\u0259r\u0259k h\u00fccumlar\u0131n \u201cm\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f siyasi q\u0259rar\u201d yox, t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik aparat\u0131n\u0131n aqressiv x\u0259tti kimi ba\u015fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fclm\u0259sini t\u0259klif edir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015eahino\u011flunun \u201cg\u00f6zl\u0259nti paketi\u201dnd\u0259 x\u00fcsusi yer tutan m\u00f6vzu n\u0259qliyyatd\u0131r: o, m\u00fcharib\u0259nin uzanmas\u0131 hal\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n i\u015ftirak etdiyi \u201c\u015eimal-C\u0259nub\u201d d\u0259hlizinin aktuall\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 i\u015fl\u0259kliyinin azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u0130ranla ba\u011fl\u0131 n\u0259qliyyat layih\u0259l\u0259rinin arxa plana ke\u00e7\u0259c\u0259yini vur\u011fulay\u0131r.\u00a05 martdan sonra s\u0259rh\u0259d y\u00fck da\u015f\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131n dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 kimi q\u0259rarlar bu proqnozun \u201cm\u00fcv\u0259qq\u0259ti t\u0259sdiql\u0259n\u0259n komponenti\u201d kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dig\u0259r m\u00fch\u00fcm x\u0259tt \u201chumanitar dal\u011fa\u201dd\u0131r: \u015eahino\u011flu m\u00fcharib\u0259 \u015fidd\u0259tl\u0259n\u0259rs\u0259 v\u0259 \u0130randa \u201cSuriya senarisi\u201d tipli xaos ehtimal\u0131 artarsa, \u0130ran v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n (o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n etnik az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n) qon\u015fu \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda s\u0131\u011f\u0131nacaq axtara bil\u0259c\u0259yini yaz\u0131rd\u0131<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu proqnoz r\u0259smi Bak\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n a\u00e7\u0131q elan olunmasa da, Az\u0259rbaycan r\u0259smil\u0259rinin bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n regionda g\u0259rginliyi azaltmaq \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015f\u0131, dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n \u201cdiplomatik v\u0259 humanitar t\u0259maslar\u201d x\u0259tti il\u0259 uy\u011fun g\u0259lir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\u0130randak\u0131 etirazlar fonunda Az\u0259rbaycan: Bak\u0131 niy\u0259 Tehran \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n \u0130randak\u0131 k\u00fctl\u0259vi etirazlar fonunda \u201cC\u0259nubi Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d m\u00f6vzusu yenid\u0259n g\u00fcnd\u0259m\u0259 g\u0259lib.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"\u0130randak\u0131\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

\u201cC\u0259nubi Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d narrativi v\u0259 real m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycanda \u201cC\u0259nubi Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d adland\u0131r\u0131lan \u0130ran\u0131n \u015fimal-q\u0259rb \u0259razil\u0259rind\u0259 de-fakto idar\u0259etm\u0259y\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259l\u0259n h\u0259rbi-siyasi add\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 m\u00fcst\u0259qil v\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq analizl\u0259rd\u0259 daha \u00e7ox \u201cdaxil \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ritorika\u201d v\u0259 \u201cutopik fantaziya\u201d kimi qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Karnegi” (Carnegie) analitik n\u0259\u015frinin yaz\u0131s\u0131nda<\/a> deyilir: \u0130ran\u0131n \u015fimal-q\u0259rbind\u0259ki etnik az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 h\u0259r qeyri-sabitlik dal\u011fas\u0131 Az\u0259rbaycan mill\u0259t\u00e7i \u00e7evr\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 \u201cbirl\u0259\u015fm\u0259\u201d \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirs\u0259 d\u0259, r\u0259smi r\u0259hb\u0259rlik ehtiyatl\u0131d\u0131r v\u0259 \u0259sas qorxu \u201cc\u0259nub s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 destabilizasiya v\u0259 iqtisadi sars\u0131nt\u0131\u201dd\u0131r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259nb\u0259 daha s\u0259rt tezis d\u0259 ir\u0259li s\u00fcr\u00fcr. O, \u0130ran az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zl\u0259ri aras\u0131nda ciddi separatizm\u0259 dair s\u00fcbutlar\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u0259vv\u0259lki v\u0259 cari etirazlarda separat\u00e7\u0131 \u015f\u00fcarlar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259diyini, naraz\u0131l\u0131qlar\u0131n daha \u00e7ox korrupsiya, iqtisadi b\u00f6hran, repressiya kimi \u00fcmumiran m\u00f6vzular\u0131na b\u0259nz\u0259diyini qeyd edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kinci b\u00f6y\u00fck m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259t beyn\u0259lxalq-h\u00fcquqi v\u0259 strateji riskdir. R\u0259smi Bak\u0131 \u201cba\u015fqa \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin daxili i\u015fl\u0259rin\u0259 qar\u0131\u015fmamaq\u201d prinsipini t\u0259krar-t\u0259krar vur\u011fulay\u0131r.\u00a0Bu \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259 daxilind\u0259 \u0130ran \u0259razisind\u0259 de-fakto idar\u0259etm\u0259y\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259l\u0259n add\u0131m Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n elan etdiyi x\u0259tti a\u015fan, \u0130ranla birba\u015fa m\u00fcharib\u0259 riskini k\u0259skin y\u00fcks\u0259ld\u0259n radikal eskalasiya olard\u0131; “Karnegi” d\u0259 \u201cbirl\u0259\u015fm\u0259\u201d ideyas\u0131n\u0131 r\u0259hb\u0259rlik \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201cutopik fantaziya\u201d kimi t\u0259qdim edir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan daxilind\u0259 is\u0259 narahatl\u0131q \u0130ran\u0131n enerji infrastrukturunun vurulmas\u0131na cavab olaraq Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n enerji obyektl\u0259rini potensial h\u0259d\u0259f kimi se\u00e7\u0259 bilm\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Bu kontekstin fonu kimi h\u0259m \u0130ran\u0131n Nax\u00e7\u0131vana endirdiyi deyil\u0259n PUA z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259ri, h\u0259m d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0130srailin neft t\u0259chizat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 vur\u011fulan\u0131r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu risk \u201cstrateji as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131q c\u00fctl\u00fcy\u00fc\u201d il\u0259 d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fir: \u0130srail Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn silah v\u0259 texnologiya t\u0259chizat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131d\u0131r, Az\u0259rbaycan is\u0259 \u0130srail \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fch\u00fcm enerji m\u0259nb\u0259yidir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nax\u00e7\u0131van\u0131n logistika bax\u0131m\u0131ndan \u0130randan as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da m\u00fch\u00fcm faktordur. Muxtar Respublikaya birba\u015fa quru yolu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Nax\u00e7\u0131van\u0131n \u0259sas t\u0259chizat\u0131 (y\u00fck da\u015f\u0131malar\u0131) \u0130ran \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irilir.
Bu x\u0259ttin ba\u011flanmas\u0131 Nax\u00e7\u0131vanda \u201cnormal h\u0259yat\u0131n\u201d \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si riskini qabard\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00fcharib\u0259 uzand\u0131qca Bak\u0131n\u0131n Nax\u00e7\u0131vanla \u0259laq\u0259sini alternativ yollarla (o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n TRIPP layih\u0259si kimi) m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259tm\u0259k motivasiyas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tBak\u0131da \u0130srail s\u0259firliyin\u0259 planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan terror akt\u0131n\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131 al\u0131n\u0131b\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n R\u0259smi m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, akt\u0131 \u0130\u015e\u0130D terror t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n \u201cVilay\u0259ti-Xorasan\u201d adlanan qolu t\u0259\u015fkil edib.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Bak\u0131da\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan m\u00fcharib\u0259nin hans\u0131 \u201chiss\u0259sind\u0259\u201d dayanacaq?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bu sual\u0131 cavabland\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u201cm\u00fcdaxil\u0259\u201dni iki yer\u0259 ay\u0131rmaq vacibdir: (a) \u00f6z \u0259razisini qorumaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcdafi\u0259 v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri; (b) \u0130ran \u0259razisin\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259l\u0259n h\u0259rbi-siyasi h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259nm\u0259.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc faktlar g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, Az\u0259rbaycan art\u0131q (a) kateqoriyas\u0131ndad\u0131r: r\u0259smi b\u0259yanatlar \u201ccavab h\u00fcququ\u201dndan dan\u0131\u015f\u0131r, Prezident Silahl\u0131 Q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin bir n\u00f6mr\u0259li s\u0259f\u0259rb\u0259rlik rejimin\u0259 g\u0259tirildiyini bildirir, s\u0259rh\u0259dd\u0259 logistikas\u0131na m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259r t\u0259tbiq olunur, hava m\u0259kan\u0131ndak\u0131 riskl\u0259r t\u0259nziml\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131r.\u00a0\u00a0Bu, h\u0259l\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259 \u201cAB\u015e-\u0130sraild\u0259n t\u0259r\u0259f kimi\u201d i\u015ftirak etm\u0259si dem\u0259k deyil.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(b) kateqoriyas\u0131 – y\u0259ni \u0130ran daxilind\u0259 \u201cC\u0259nubi Az\u0259rbaycan\u201d b\u00f6lg\u0259sin\u0259 h\u0259rbi m\u00fcdaxil\u0259, de-fakto idar\u0259etm\u0259 v\u0259 s. haz\u0131rk\u0131 r\u0259smi diskurs v\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq analizl\u0259r fonunda y\u00fcks\u0259k ehtimall\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunun s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259ri r\u0259smi “\u0130rana m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 \u0259leyhin\u0259” ritorika; bel\u0259 add\u0131m\u0131n \u0130ranla geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 m\u00fcharib\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259tirm\u0259 riski; \u0130ran az\u0259rbaycanl\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda geni\u015f separatizmin m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmamas\u0131 v\u0259 Bak\u0131n\u0131n uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli strategiyada \u201crisk minimalla\u015fd\u0131rma\u201d x\u0259ttini se\u00e7m\u0259si bar\u0259d\u0259 qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259l\u0259rdir.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunun \u0259v\u0259zin\u0259, real \u201cm\u00fcdaxil\u0259 h\u0259ddi\u201d daha \u00e7ox a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dak\u0131 eskalasiya ehtimallar\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirilir:<\/p>\n\n\n\n