{"id":100353,"date":"2025-09-03T23:38:50","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T19:38:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/?p=100353"},"modified":"2026-04-03T19:33:37","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T15:33:37","slug":"regionda-sulh-ve-boyuk-guclerin-maraqlari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jam-news.net\/az\/regionda-sulh-ve-boyuk-guclerin-maraqlari\/","title":{"rendered":"“\u00c7oxq\u00fctbl\u00fc d\u00fcnya”: AB\u015e, \u00c7in, Rusiya, \u015e\u018fT, BR\u0130CS v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131ndak\u0131 s\u00fclh"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Regionda s\u00fclh v\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin maraqlar\u0131<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son aylarda Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda s\u00fclh sazi\u015fin\u0259 dair dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar xeyli intensivl\u0259\u015fib. Va\u015finqtonun vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyi il\u0259 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ke\u00e7irilib, eyni zamanda \u00c7in r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan r\u0259hb\u0259rl\u0259rini Pekind\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259li t\u0259dbirl\u0259r\u0259 v\u0259 h\u0259rbi paradlara d\u0259v\u0259t edib.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu paralel t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259r C\u0259nubi Qafqazda yerli qar\u015f\u0131durman\u0131n qlobal g\u00fccl\u0259rin maraq toqqu\u015fmas\u0131na \u00e7evrildiyinin d\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi ola bil\u0259r. Soyuq m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n sonra formala\u015fm\u0131\u015f “birq\u00fctbl\u00fc d\u00fcnya nizam\u0131” son ill\u0259rd\u0259 t\u0259dric\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259kd\u0259dir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusiya v\u0259 \u00c7in kimi g\u00fcc m\u0259rk\u0259zl\u0259ri Q\u0259rbin hegemon t\u0259sirini tarazlamaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u015eanxay \u018fm\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131 (\u015e\u018fT) v\u0259 BR\u0130CS kimi platformalardan faydalanaraq beyn\u0259lxalq nizam\u0131 yenid\u0259n formala\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Regionda<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

“Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n bu t\u0259\u015fkilatlara mara\u011f\u0131 ancaq iqtisadi v\u0259 ticar\u0259t \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnd\u00fcr”<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

“Reuters”<\/strong> yaz\u0131r ki<\/a>, t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik y\u00f6n\u00fcml\u00fc \u015e\u018fT bir zamanlar 6 \u00fczv \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259n ibar\u0259t idis\u0259, son ill\u0259rd\u0259 10 daimi \u00fczv\u0259 v\u0259 16 dialoq v\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259\u00e7i \u00f6lk\u0259y\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r geni\u015fl\u0259nib; t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti t\u0259kc\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik v\u0259 terrorla m\u00fcbariz\u0259 il\u0259 m\u0259hdudla\u015fmayaraq, iqtisadi v\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q istiqam\u0259tl\u0259rini d\u0259 \u0259hat\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi bu platformalar\u0131 ideoloji c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yir – S\u0259dr Si Cinpin BR\u0130CS-i \u201c\u00e7oxq\u00fctbl\u00fc d\u00fcnyan\u0131n qurulmas\u0131nda s\u00fctun\u201d adland\u0131raraq onun inkl\u00fcziv qloballa\u015fman\u0131 t\u0259\u015fviq etm\u0259kd\u0259 olan rolunu vur\u011fulay\u0131b<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Realda da, BR\u0130CS bloku Misir, B\u018f\u018f, \u0130ran, Argentina v\u0259 Efiopiya kimi yeni \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin q\u0259bul edilm\u0259si il\u0259 geni\u015fl\u0259n\u0259r\u0259k qlobal \u00e7\u0259kisini art\u0131r\u0131b. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 BR\u0130CS haz\u0131rda d\u00fcnya \u0259halisinin t\u0259qrib\u0259n yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 qlobal \u00dcDM-in 30%-\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259rini t\u0259msil edir. Bel\u0259 bir platforman\u0131n artan \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259ti fonunda art\u0131q 30-dan \u00e7ox \u00f6lk\u0259, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan<\/strong> bu birliy\u0259 \u00fczvl\u00fck niyy\u0259tini b\u0259yan edib v\u0259 ya r\u0259smi m\u00fcraci\u0259t t\u0259qdim edib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu fakt beyn\u0259lxalq sistemin getdikc\u0259 “\u00e7oxq\u00fctbl\u00fc m\u00fcst\u0259viy\u0259” ke\u00e7diyin\u0259 i\u015far\u0259dir. Bununla bel\u0259, yerli ekspertl\u0259rin fikrinc\u0259, r\u0259smi Bak\u0131 bu geosiyasi prosesl\u0259r\u0259 ideoloji prizmadan yox, praqmatik maraqlar bax\u0131m\u0131ndan yana\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Siyasi analitik Elxan \u015eahino\u011flunun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259<\/a>, \u201cRusiya v\u0259 \u00c7in \u015e\u018fT v\u0259 BR\u0130CS vasit\u0259sil\u0259 birq\u00fctbl\u00fc d\u00fcnyan\u0131 ortadan qald\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar. Bu, bizim m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 deyil. Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n bu t\u0259\u015fkilatlara mara\u011f\u0131 ancaq iqtisadi v\u0259 ticar\u0259t \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rini g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259kl\u0259, \u00fczv \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rin Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n n\u0259qliyyat imkanlar\u0131ndan istifad\u0259sini t\u0259min etm\u0259kl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259lidir\u201d<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y\u0259ni, Bak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas h\u0259d\u0259f qlobal g\u00fccl\u0259rin r\u0259qab\u0259tind\u0259n geoiqtisadi dividendl\u0259r qazanmaqd\u0131r, ideoloji blokla\u015fmada yer almaq deyil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bel\u0259likl\u0259, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda s\u00fclh prosesi art\u0131q t\u0259kc\u0259 region \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin deyil, b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin d\u0259 maraq dair\u0259sind\u0259dir.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

B\u0259s superg\u00fccl\u0259rin r\u0259qab\u0259ti bu proses\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir edir? AB\u015e v\u0259 \u00c7in regionda hans\u0131 \u201ckartlar\u201d\u0131 oynay\u0131r, Bak\u0131 v\u0259 Yerevan bu q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r balans\u0131nda hans\u0131 m\u00f6vqeni tutur?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu suallar\u0131n cavablar\u0131 s\u00fclh sazi\u015finin perspektivl\u0259rini anlamaq bax\u0131m\u0131ndan vacibdir.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tAz\u0259rbaycan-\u00c7in m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri v\u0259 \u015e\u018fT sammiti: Yeni t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q v\u0259 m\u00fcbahis\u0259li m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n M\u00fcxalif lider hesab edir ki, \u015e\u018fT-\u0259 qo\u015fulmas\u0131na veto qoymaqla Yeni Dehli ist\u0259r-ist\u0259m\u0259z Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n bu\u00a0\u201canti-Q\u0259rb, anti-demokratiya koalisiyalar\u0131na\u201d\u00a0girm\u0259sinin qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Az\u0259rbaycan-\u00c7in\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e faktoru<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Va\u015finqton son d\u00f6vrl\u0259r Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan s\u00fclh prosesind\u0259 f\u0259al vasit\u0259\u00e7i kimi \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edir. 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259n etibar\u0259n AB\u015e r\u0259smil\u0259ri iki \u00f6lk\u0259 liderl\u0259ri v\u0259 xarici i\u015fl\u0259r nazirl\u0259ri il\u0259 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f t\u0259\u015fkil edibl\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00fcsus\u0259n Va\u015finqtonda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar v\u0259 2025-ci ilin avqustunda AB\u015e paytaxt\u0131nda Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda ilkin s\u00fclh b\u0259yanat\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131 regionda AB\u015e-nin n\u00fcfuzunun artd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan\u0131n Q\u0259rbl\u0259 intensiv t\u0259maslar\u0131, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n AB\u015e il\u0259 h\u0259rbi t\u0259liml\u0259r ke\u00e7irm\u0259si v\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n Erm\u0259nistanda m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 missiyas\u0131n\u0131 q\u0259bul etm\u0259si, Va\u015finqtonun ona a\u00e7\u0131q d\u0259st\u0259k verm\u0259sin\u0259 \u015f\u0259rait yarad\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e-nin \u0259sas h\u0259d\u0259fi C\u0259nubi Qafqazda Rusiyan\u0131n t\u0259sirini azaltmaq v\u0259 regional sabitliyi m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259ndirm\u0259kl\u0259 strateji kommunikasiyalar\u0131 qorumaqd\u0131r. Bak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259yati \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131yan enerji v\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat d\u0259hlizl\u0259ri eyni zamanda Avropan\u0131n Rusiya enerjisind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Q\u0259rbin maraq dair\u0259sind\u0259dir. Va\u015finqton da bu mar\u015frutlar\u0131n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyini t\u0259min etm\u0259kd\u0259 maraql\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, AB\u015e diplomatlar\u0131 d\u0259f\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 “Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi”nin (Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131 Nax\u00e7\u0131van vasit\u0259sil\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259y\u0259 birl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259c\u0259k yolun) a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na d\u0259st\u0259k ifad\u0259 edibl\u0259r, \u00e7\u00fcnki bu, h\u0259m regional iqtisadi inteqrasiyan\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndir\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n C\u0259nubi Qafqazdak\u0131 m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini z\u0259ifl\u0259d\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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AB\u015e-nin s\u00fclh t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259ri eyni zamanda \u0130rana v\u0259 dig\u0259r xarici aktorlara da mesaj xarakteri da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e-nin d\u0259st\u0259yi il\u0259 bu ilin avqustunda imzalanm\u0131\u015f birg\u0259 b\u0259yanatda Va\u015finqton regionda \u201ctranzit d\u0259hlizl\u0259rin a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n vacibliyini\u201d<\/strong> vur\u011fulayaraq bu sah\u0259d\u0259 \u201ch\u0259r hans\u0131 z\u0259r\u0259rli \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc t\u0259r\u0259f t\u0259sirin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131xaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131” bildirib. Ba\u015fqa s\u00f6zl\u0259, AB\u015e C\u0259nubi Qafqazda iqtisadi inki\u015faf\u0131 t\u0259\u015fviq etm\u0259yi, t\u0259klif olunan kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 n\u0259zar\u0259td\u0259 s\u00f6z sahibi olma\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n (el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 \u0130ran\u0131n) proses\u0259 m\u0259nfi m\u00fcdaxil\u0259sini neytralla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011f\u0131 h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259yir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u018fliyev,
\u018fliyev, Tramp v\u0259 Pa\u015finyan Va\u015finqton g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u0259n sonra birg\u0259 \u015f\u0259kil \u00e7\u0259kdiribl\u0259r | foto: The White House<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e \u00f6z t\u0259sirini daha \u00e7ox diplomatik v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik m\u00fcst\u0259visind\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Va\u015finqtonun vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyi Pa\u015finyan h\u00f6kum\u0259tin\u0259 Moskvan\u0131n t\u0259min ed\u0259 bilm\u0259diyi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik z\u0259man\u0259tl\u0259rini Q\u0259rbd\u0259n almaq imkan\u0131 verir. Pa\u015finyan\u0131n s\u00f6zl\u0259ri il\u0259 des\u0259k, \u201cErm\u0259nistan\u0131n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyini tamamil\u0259 bir \u00f6lk\u0259nin (Rusiyan\u0131n) \u00fcmidin\u0259 ba\u011flamaq strateji s\u0259hv idi\u201d<\/em>, \u00e7\u00fcnki Moskva n\u0259 Qaraba\u011fdak\u0131 erm\u0259ni \u0259halisini qoruma\u011f\u0131 bacard\u0131, n\u0259 d\u0259 Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259sin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 Yerevan\u0131n m\u00fcdafi\u0259 ehtiyaclar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6d\u0259y\u0259 bilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n Erm\u0259nistan son d\u00f6vrl\u0259rd\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sah\u0259sind\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 Avropa il\u0259 \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fdirir. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Az\u0259rbaycan da uzun m\u00fcdd\u0259tdir ki, AB\u015e v\u0259 NATO il\u0259 enerji t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyi v\u0259 terrorla m\u00fcbariz\u0259 kimi m\u00f6vzularda t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q edir. X\u00fcsusil\u0259 Avropan\u0131n enerji t\u0259dar\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn \u015fax\u0259l\u0259ndirilm\u0259si m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259 Bak\u0131-Va\u015finqton maraqlar\u0131 \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr – C\u0259nub Qaz D\u0259hlizi layih\u0259si m\u0259hz bu strateji \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n n\u00fcmun\u0259sidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bel\u0259likl\u0259, AB\u015e b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 s\u00fclh sazi\u015finin \u0259ld\u0259 olunmas\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259m geosiyasi qazanclar (Rusiyan\u0131n n\u00fcfuzunun azalmas\u0131), h\u0259m d\u0259 iqtisadi t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik bax\u0131m\u0131ndan d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yir. Va\u015finqton hesab edir ki, m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin h\u0259lli Trans-X\u0259z\u0259r enerji v\u0259 n\u0259qliyyat layih\u0259l\u0259rini riskl\u0259rd\u0259n azad ed\u0259c\u0259k, C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131 Q\u0259rb\u0259 daha s\u00fcr\u0259tli inteqr\u0259 ed\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunu realla\u015fd\u0131rmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn AB\u015e siyasi vasit\u0259\u00e7ilikd\u0259n (dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131n t\u0259\u015fkili, y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259maslar) v\u0259 m\u0259hdud h\u0259rbi yard\u0131mdan (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Erm\u0259nistana ki\u00e7ikmiqyasl\u0131 t\u0259lim yard\u0131m\u0131) istifad\u0259 edir. N\u0259tic\u0259 etibaril\u0259, AB\u015e regionda \u201cyum\u015faq g\u00fcc\u201d v\u0259 diplomatik t\u0259sir r\u0131\u00e7aqlar\u0131na arxalanaraq s\u00fclh prosesin\u0259 t\u0259sir etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tParaflanan s\u00fclh sazi\u015fi Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259sinin yeni m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259si hesab edil\u0259 bil\u0259r?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n T\u0259hlild\u0259 vur\u011fulan\u0131r ki, demokratik v\u0259 avtoritar rejiml\u0259rin qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131 \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 s\u00fclh\u00fcn taleyi yaln\u0131z s\u0259n\u0259dl\u0259rd\u0259n deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 siyasi rejiml\u0259rin xarakterind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Sazi\u015f\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in faktoru<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Pekinin d\u0259 C\u0259nubi Qafqazdak\u0131 rolu son ill\u0259rd\u0259 xeyli g\u00fccl\u0259nib, lakin f\u0259rqli m\u00fcst\u0259vid\u0259 – \u0259sas\u0259n iqtisadi v\u0259 infrastruktur layih\u0259l\u0259ri vasit\u0259sil\u0259. 2023-2025-ci ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyev \u00c7in\u0259 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 s\u0259f\u0259r edib. O, Pekind\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259n \u201cBir K\u0259m\u0259r, Bir Yol\u201d (BRI) forumunda i\u015ftirak edib. 2025-in avqust v\u0259 sentyabr\u0131nda is\u0259 t\u0259\u015fkil olunan \u015eanxay \u018fm\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n zirv\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc v\u0259 h\u0259rbi paradda f\u0259xri qonaqlardan biri olub.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc neytral vasit\u0259\u00e7i kimi g\u00f6st\u0259rir: r\u0259smi Pekin h\u0259m Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u0259razi b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u0259 h\u00f6rm\u0259t etdiyini b\u0259yan edir v\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259f tutmur. Buna baxmayaraq, \u00c7in C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131 b\u00f6y\u00fck Avrasiya infrastruktur planlar\u0131na inteqrasiya etm\u0259y\u0259 x\u00fcsusi maraq g\u00f6st\u0259rir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259rk\u0259zi Asiya il\u0259 Avropan\u0131 birl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259n Orta D\u0259hliz m\u0259hz Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259n ke\u00e7ir v\u0259 \u00c7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Rusiyadan yan ke\u00e7\u0259n alternativ ticar\u0259t mar\u015frutu kimi strateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. 2022-ci ild\u0259 Ukraynada Rusiyan\u0131n i\u015f\u011fal c\u0259hdl\u0259ri ba\u015flayandan sonra Orta D\u0259hliz vasit\u0259sil\u0259 y\u00fckl\u0259rin ax\u0131n\u0131 xeyli art\u0131b. Rusiya \u0259razisind\u0259n ke\u00e7\u0259n \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi \u015eimal mar\u015frutu sanksiyalar s\u0259b\u0259bil\u0259 etibars\u0131z hala g\u0259linc\u0259, Trans-X\u0259z\u0259r yolu logistika \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259ri \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn c\u0259lbedici olma\u011fa ba\u015flay\u0131b. Bu tendensiya \u00c7ini Orta D\u0259hlizin inki\u015faf\u0131na daha \u00e7ox yat\u0131r\u0131m etm\u0259y\u0259 t\u0259\u015fviq edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n tranzit potensial\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fl\u0259ndirm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn konkret t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcsl\u0259rl\u0259 \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f edir. Bak\u0131ya s\u0259f\u0259ri \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 \u00c7in Kommunist Partiyas\u0131n\u0131n beyn\u0259lxalq \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r departamentinin r\u0259hb\u0259ri Lyu Jian\u00e7ao bildirib ki, \u201cAz\u0259rbaycan Bir K\u0259m\u0259r, Bir Yol layih\u0259sini ilk g\u00fcnd\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yib\u201d<\/em> v\u0259 Pekin bunun \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259\u015f\u0259kk\u00fcr edir. X\u00fcsusil\u0259, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fl\u0259r zaman\u0131 \u00c7in t\u0259r\u0259fi “Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi”nin<\/strong> tikintisini vur\u011fulay\u0131b v\u0259 onun \u201cAvropa il\u0259 Asiya \u0259laq\u0259sini daha da g\u00fccl\u0259ndir\u0259c\u0259yini\u201d<\/em> qeyd edib.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lyu Jian\u00e7aonun s\u00f6zl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, \u201cBir K\u0259m\u0259r, Bir Yol v\u0259 Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizinin in\u015fas\u0131 \u00c7in il\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n strateji \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n vacib elementl\u0259ridir\u201d<\/em> v\u0259 \u00c7in \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259ri bu d\u0259hlizin yarad\u0131lmas\u0131nda aktiv rol almal\u0131d\u0131r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu a\u00e7\u0131qlama Pekinin Z\u0259ng\u0259zur yoluna geoiqtisadi layih\u0259 kimi baxd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6st\u0259rcisidir. \u00c7in bu d\u0259hliz vasit\u0259sil\u0259 Orta D\u0259hlizi q\u0131saldaraq daha bir alternativ mar\u015frut \u0259ld\u0259 ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do\u011frudur, Erm\u0259nistan “Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi”ni \u00f6z suveren \u0259razisin\u0259 t\u0259hdid kimi g\u00f6r\u0259r\u0259k \u201cS\u00fclh K\u0259si\u015fm\u0259si\u201d (Crossroads of Peace) adl\u0131 alternativ bir t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcs ir\u0259li s\u00fcr\u00fcb. Lakin diqq\u0259t\u00e7\u0259k\u0259ndir ki, \u00c7in Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n da bu t\u0259\u015f\u0259bb\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc r\u0259sm\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yib v\u0259 onu BRI \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sin\u0259 ba\u011flama\u011fa haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu b\u0259yan edib<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y\u0259ni Pekin h\u0259r iki C\u0259nubi Qafqaz \u00f6lk\u0259si il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259kd\u0259 maraql\u0131d\u0131r. \u018fsas m\u0259qs\u0259d b\u00f6lg\u0259ni g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 bir problem m\u0259nb\u0259yi deyil, etibarl\u0131 tranzit m\u0259kan\u0131 kimi g\u00f6rm\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u00c7in bu maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259rt g\u00fccd\u0259n deyil, \u201cbir k\u0259m\u0259r, bir yol\u201d vasit\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n istifad\u0259 edir.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycanla \u00c7in aras\u0131nda son d\u00f6vrd\u0259 bir s\u0131ra strateji iqtisadi sazi\u015fl\u0259r d\u0259 imzalan\u0131b. 2025-ci ilin iyulunda iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda h\u0259rt\u0259r\u0259fli strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q s\u0259n\u0259di q\u0259bul olunub v\u0259 \u00c7in Orta D\u0259hlizin inki\u015faf\u0131na d\u0259st\u0259k ver\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 dair \u00f6hd\u0259lik g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcb. Bak\u0131 \u00fcmid edir ki, bu raz\u0131la\u015fma n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 \u00c7in Az\u0259rbaycanda infrastruktur layih\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 investisiyalar\u0131 art\u0131racaq, mar\u015frutun r\u0259qab\u0259t qabiliyy\u0259ti y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259nin logistika m\u0259rk\u0259zi kimi rolu g\u00fccl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Prezident
Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyev v\u0259 \u00c7in s\u0259dri Si Cinpin h\u0259rt\u0259r\u0259fli strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q s\u0259n\u0259di imzalayandan sonra | foto: China Daily<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Art\u0131q \u00c7in \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259ri Az\u0259rbaycanda yeni y\u00fck liman\u0131n\u0131n tikintisi, r\u0259q\u0259msal iqtisadiyyat, metro x\u0259tl\u0259rinin geni\u015fl\u0259ndirilm\u0259si kimi layih\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 i\u015ftirak t\u0259klifl\u0259ri al\u0131blar. Pekin, h\u0259m\u00e7inin, Erm\u0259nistana yum\u015faq g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. Bu sentrabrda iki \u00f6lk\u0259 aras\u0131nda\u00a0strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q<\/strong>\u00a0sazi\u015fi imzalan\u0131b. \u00c7in Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n da \u015e\u018fT-d\u0259 rol almas\u0131na m\u00fcsb\u0259t baxd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla bel\u0259, \u00c7in amili h\u0259l\u0259 ki, Yerevan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259lledici deyil; Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n xarici ticar\u0259tind\u0259 v\u0259 s\u0259rmay\u0259 ax\u0131n\u0131nda \u00c7inin pay\u0131 m\u0259hduddur. Pekinin Yerevanla \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri daha \u00e7ox siyasi jestl\u0259r m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259dir (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Erm\u0259nistan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti Tayvan m\u00fcst\u0259qilliyin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 b\u0259yanatla \u00c7in \u0259razi b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yib, \u00c7in is\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n suverenliyin\u0259 h\u00f6rm\u0259tini vur\u011fulay\u0131b). Y\u0259ni, h\u0259l\u0259lik Pekin \u0259sas oyunu Bak\u0131 c\u0259bh\u0259sind\u0259 oynay\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00dcmumilikd\u0259, \u00c7in C\u0259nubi Qafqazda \u201cyum\u015faq neytrall\u0131q\u201d m\u00f6vqeyi tutur. O, a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259f se\u00e7m\u0259d\u0259n, b\u00f6y\u00fck iqtisadi t\u0259\u015fviql\u0259rl\u0259 h\u0259r iki \u00f6lk\u0259ni \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011fa c\u0259lb edir. Regionda sabitliyin qorunmas\u0131 v\u0259 kommunikasiyalar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00c7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qlobal layih\u0259l\u0259rinin t\u0259rkib hiss\u0259sidir. Bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n Pekin s\u00fclh prosesin\u0259 z\u0259r\u0259r ver\u0259c\u0259k add\u0131mlardan \u00e7\u0259kinir, \u0259ksin\u0259, m\u00fcmk\u00fcn raz\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u0259ld\u0259 olunmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z layih\u0259l\u0259ri \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn f\u00fcrs\u0259t kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7in amilinin artmas\u0131 Bak\u0131ya v\u0259 Yerevana Moskva as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan qurtulmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lav\u0259 r\u0131\u00e7aq verir – art\u0131q Kreml\u0259 alternativ b\u00f6y\u00fck t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f m\u00f6vcuddur. Bunun perspektivi odur ki, region \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri geosiyasi manevr imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fl\u0259ndir\u0259r\u0259k s\u00fclh namin\u0259 daha s\u0259rb\u0259st q\u0259rarlar ver\u0259 bil\u0259rl\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\tPa\u015finyan-Peze\u015fkian g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc: \u0130ran Qafqazda kommunikasiya x\u0259tl\u0259rinin a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131ndan n\u0259 g\u00f6zl\u0259yir?\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Pa\u015finyan “Tramp mar\u015frutu”na Tehran\u0131 inand\u0131rma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da, \u0130ran\u0131n yaln\u0131z konkret t\u0259minatlar olduqda \u00f6z m\u00f6vqeyini yum\u015falda bil\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

\n
\n \n \"\u0130ran\u0131n\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n m\u00f6vqeyi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Az\u0259rbaycan uzun ill\u0259rdir balansl\u0131 xarici siyas\u0259t y\u00fcr\u00fctd\u00fcy\u00fcn\u00fc deyir. Prezident \u0130lham \u018fliyevin h\u0259m Rusiya v\u0259 \u0130ranla, h\u0259m d\u0259 Q\u0259rb v\u0259 yeni y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259n g\u00fccl\u0259rl\u0259 paralel \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r qurmaq strategiyas\u0131 b\u0259hr\u0259sini vermi\u015f kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bak\u0131 multivektor<\/strong> siyas\u0259tini \u201cstrateji qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259nlik\u201d format\u0131nda h\u0259yata ke\u00e7irir, y\u0259ni he\u00e7 bir q\u00fctb\u0259 tam ba\u011flanmadan, onlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda manevr etm\u0259kl\u0259 maksimal divident \u0259ld\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. M\u0259hz bu yana\u015fma say\u0259sind\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan m\u00fcxt\u0259lif d\u00f6vrl\u0259rd\u0259 f\u0259rqli g\u00fccl\u0259r\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015f\u0131b uzaqla\u015faraq \u00f6z maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 tarazlaya bildiyi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, 2010-cu ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Q\u0259rbl\u0259 enerji layih\u0259l\u0259rini ir\u0259li aparark\u0259n, 2020-ci il \u0259traf\u0131nda Moskva il\u0259 m\u00fctt\u0259fiqlik b\u0259yannam\u0259si imzalay\u0131b (2022) v\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirib. Eyni zamanda, \u00f6lk\u0259 2022-ci ild\u0259 Rusiya-Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259sin\u0259 baxmayaraq bit\u0259r\u0259f qal\u0131b, sanksiyalara qo\u015fulmay\u0131b, eyni zamanda Ukraynaya humanitar yard\u0131mlar edib. Bu \u201cr\u0259qs ed\u0259n pendulum\u201d siyas\u0259ti Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n riskli ittifaqlardan yay\u0131n\u0131b m\u00fcst\u0259qil q\u0259rar verm\u0259sin\u0259 imkan verir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"So\u00e7id\u0259
So\u00e7id\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan Prezidenti \u0130lham \u018fliyev v\u0259 Rusiya Prezidenti Vladimir Putin aras\u0131nda ikit\u0259r\u0259fli g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fd\u0259n, 31 oktyabr 2022 | foto: president.az<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ndi is\u0259 pendulumun yeni istiqam\u0259ti \u015e\u0259rq\u0259 do\u011fru h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t edir. Az\u0259rbaycan son bir ild\u0259 \u00c7in v\u0259 dig\u0259r y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259n iqtisadiyyatlarla \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rini xeyli d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fdirib. 2024-c\u00fc ilin yay\u0131nda Bak\u0131 \u015e\u018fT-d\u0259 statusunu dialoq t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f\u0131ndan m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259\u00e7iy\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259ltm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcraci\u0259t edib. Ard\u0131nca Az\u0259rbaycan r\u0259smi olaraq BR\u0130CS-\u0259 \u00fczvl\u00fck \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u00fcraci\u0259t verdiyini a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b. Bu add\u0131mlar Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n Rusiya-\u00c7in liderliyind\u0259ki \u00e7oxt\u0259r\u0259fli qurumlarda yer alma\u011fa maraq g\u00f6st\u0259rdiyini n\u00fcmayi\u015f etdirir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, Az\u0259rbaycan h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 Qo\u015fulmama H\u0259r\u0259kat\u0131na s\u0259drlik edir v\u0259 NATO il\u0259 f\u0259rdi t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q proqram\u0131n\u0131 davam etdirir. Y\u0259ni Bak\u0131 \u201cikili oynamaq\u201d yox, \u201c\u00e7oxvektorlu oynamaq\u201d yolunu se\u00e7ib. Analitikl\u0259r qeyd edir ki, \u0130lham \u018fliyevin h\u0259m AB\u015e, h\u0259m Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131, h\u0259m T\u00fcrkiy\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00c7in v\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 eyni zamanda i\u015f qurmas\u0131 ona dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlarda \u00fcst\u00fcn m\u00f6vqel\u0259r qazand\u0131r\u0131r. Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n g\u00fccl\u00fc t\u0259r\u0259fi ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, o, n\u0259 Q\u0259rbd\u0259n, n\u0259 \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259n tam as\u0131l\u0131 deyil – enerji resurslar\u0131 v\u0259 geostrateji m\u00f6vqeyi ona se\u00e7im imkan\u0131 verir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Haz\u0131rda Bak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 AB\u015e v\u0259 \u00c7in kimi n\u0259h\u0259ngl\u0259rin maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 ziddiyy\u0259t\u0259 \u00e7evirm\u0259d\u0259n uzla\u015fd\u0131ra bilm\u0259kdir. Az\u0259rbaycan Q\u0259rbl\u0259 enerji sektorunda strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fd\u0131r. Avropan\u0131n qaz t\u0259chizat\u0131 v\u0259 \u0130srailin neft t\u0259minat\u0131nda m\u00fch\u00fcm h\u0259lq\u0259dir. Eyni zamanda, \u00c7in v\u0259 Asiya bazarlar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn tranzit \u00f6lk\u0259sidir. Bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ki, h\u0259m Va\u015finqton, h\u0259m Br\u00fcssel \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn etibarl\u0131 m\u00fctt\u0259fiq, h\u0259m d\u0259 Pekin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn c\u0259lbedici t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f olsun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Bak\u0131 Avropa il\u0259 yeni ya\u015f\u0131l enerji k\u0259m\u0259ri layih\u0259si imzalayark\u0259n (X\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n Qara d\u0259niz\u0259 elektrik \u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259 x\u0259tti), paralel olaraq \u00c7inl\u0259 r\u0259q\u0259msal \u0130p\u0259k Yolu layih\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 i\u015ftirak edir. \u00d6lk\u0259nin n\u0259qliyyat infrastrukturu – Bak\u0131 Liman\u0131, Bak\u0131-Tbilisi-Qars d\u0259mir yolu h\u0259m Q\u0259rbin, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00c7inin istifad\u0259sin\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131qd\u0131r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu balans say\u0259sind\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan s\u00fclh prosesind\u0259 d\u0259 \u00f6z maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 maksimum qoruma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bak\u0131 bilir ki, s\u00fclh sazi\u015fi imzalanarsa, C\u0259nubi Qafqazdak\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn b\u00f6y\u00fck oyun\u00e7ular (AB\u015e, A\u0130, \u00c7in, T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 v\u0259 s.) bundan iqtisadi dividendl\u0259r g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259k ist\u0259y\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan bu g\u00fccl\u0259rin r\u0259qab\u0259tini \u00f6z xeyrin\u0259 \u00e7evirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, “Z\u0259ng\u0259zur d\u0259hlizi”nin a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0259m AB\u015e-d\u0259n, h\u0259m \u00c7ind\u0259n d\u0259st\u0259k qazanma\u011fa c\u0259hd edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bu, eyni zamanda, Moskvaya da bir siqnald\u0131r ki, Bak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn alternativl\u0259r \u00e7oxdur v\u0259 Kremlin t\u0259sir r\u0131\u00e7aqlar\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki kimi i\u015fl\u0259k deyil.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Rusiyan\u0131n son d\u00f6vrl\u0259rd\u0259 z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259si d\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycana \u0259lav\u0259 manevr imkanlar\u0131 yarad\u0131b. Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259si il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar sanksiyalar v\u0259 h\u0259rbi resurs itkisi n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 Moskva C\u0259nubi Qafqazda \u0259vv\u0259lki q\u0259d\u0259r dominant m\u00f6vqed\u0259 deyil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2020-ci ild\u0259 Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n sonra regiona s\u00fclhm\u0259raml\u0131lar yerl\u0259\u015fdirs\u0259 d\u0259, 2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan h\u0259min q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259rin i\u015ftirak\u0131 olmadan Qaraba\u011f \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 tam n\u0259zar\u0259ti b\u0259rpa etdi. Bu proses g\u00f6st\u0259rdi ki, Kreml situasiyaya t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bilm\u0259di v\u0259 faktiki olaraq geri \u00e7\u0259kildi. Pa\u015finyan da bunu dil\u0259 g\u0259tir\u0259r\u0259k Rusiyan\u0131n \u201cregiondan yava\u015f-yava\u015f \u00e7\u0131xmaqda oldu\u011funu\u201d vur\u011fulad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bel\u0259 m\u0259qamda Bak\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc daha s\u0259rb\u0259st hiss edir. Az\u0259rbaycan art\u0131q vacib q\u0259rarlar\u0131 (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, La\u00e7\u0131n yoluna n\u0259zar\u0259t, Qaraba\u011fdak\u0131 silahl\u0131 d\u0259st\u0259l\u0259rin t\u0259rksilah edilm\u0259si) Moskvan\u0131n raz\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olmadan h\u0259yata ke\u00e7ir\u0259 bildi. Bu tendensiya davam ed\u0259rs\u0259, s\u00fclh sazi\u015finin \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259rini dikt\u0259 etm\u0259kd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0259li daha g\u00fccl\u00fc ola bil\u0259r. Lakin eyni zamanda Bak\u0131 tamamil\u0259 Rusiya \u0259leyhin\u0259 c\u0259bh\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. H\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 Kremll\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 koordinasiyan\u0131 saxlay\u0131r (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Erm\u0259nistanla s\u00fclh m\u0259tninin raz\u0131la\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 prosesind\u0259 Moskvaya da m\u0259lumat verir).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu, yen\u0259 \u00e7oxvektor siyas\u0259tin t\u0259rkib hiss\u0259sidir: Az\u0259rbaycan Rusiya il\u0259 g\u0259rginliyin kritik h\u0259dd\u0259 \u00e7atmas\u0131n\u0131 ist\u0259mir, \u00e7\u00fcnki \u015fimal qon\u015fusu il\u0259 iqtisadi-ticari \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri davam edir v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik balans\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Moskva amili tam g\u00f6zard\u0131 edil\u0259 bilm\u0259z. B\u00fct\u00fcn bu inc\u0259 balansla\u015fd\u0131rma Bak\u0131 diplomatiyas\u0131n\u0131n mahiyy\u0259tini t\u0259\u015fkil edir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015f\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259, Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n m\u0259qs\u0259di odur ki, AB\u015e-\u00c7in r\u0259qab\u0259ti fonunda m\u00fcmk\u00fcn s\u00fclh sazi\u015fi onun suveren maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 maksimum d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 t\u0259min etsin, \u00f6lk\u0259 regional m\u0259rk\u0259z\u0259 \u00e7evrilsin, amma eyni zamanda he\u00e7 bir b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259 a\u00e7\u0131q qar\u015f\u0131durmaya girm\u0259sin.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t"Rusiya il\u0259 g\u0259rginlik fonunda Az\u0259rbaycan Ukraynaya yard\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fl\u0259ndirm\u0259lidir" – Bak\u0131da bel\u0259 deyirl\u0259r\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Politoloq deyir ki, Rusiya Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131 birba\u015fa deyil, dolay\u0131 yolla h\u0259d\u0259f almaqda davam edir.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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\n \n \"Rusiyan\u0131n\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n m\u00f6vqeyi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Erm\u0259nistan son ill\u0259rd\u0259 geosiyasi y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fir. Ba\u015f nazir Nikol Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259t\u0259 Q\u0259rb\u0259 meylli islahat\u00e7\u0131 imici il\u0259 g\u0259ls\u0259 d\u0259, 2020-ci ilin Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n sonra o, bir m\u00fcdd\u0259t Rusiyaya arxalanma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Lakin Rusiya m\u00fctt\u0259fiqliyinin g\u00f6zl\u0259ntil\u0259ri do\u011frultmamas\u0131 – n\u0259 2020 at\u0259\u015fk\u0259sind\u0259n sonra Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 tam qoruya bilm\u0259m\u0259si, n\u0259 d\u0259 2022-2023-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanla s\u0259rh\u0259d toqqu\u015fmalar\u0131nda Yerevana d\u0259st\u0259k verm\u0259m\u0259si Pa\u015finyan\u0131 yeni \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f yollar\u0131 axtarma\u011fa s\u00f6vq etdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2023-c\u00fc ild\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Moskvan\u0131 t\u0259nqid etm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flad\u0131. Pa\u015finyan Rusiyaya h\u0259dsiz etibar\u0131n \u201cstrateji s\u0259hv oldu\u011funu\u201d bildirdi v\u0259 Yerevan\u0131n t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik alternativl\u0259rini \u015fax\u0259l\u0259ndir\u0259c\u0259yini b\u0259yan etdi. Bu fonda Erm\u0259nistan h\u0259m AB\u015e, h\u0259m Avropa il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri istil\u0259\u015fdirdi, h\u0259m d\u0259 regionda yeni t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar axtar\u0131\u015f\u0131na giri\u015fdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yerevan\u0131n Q\u0259rbl\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 bir ne\u00e7\u0259 c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6st\u0259rir. Birincisi, Erm\u0259nistan 2022-ci ild\u0259n etibar\u0259n Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fclki m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 missiyas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259rind\u0259 yerl\u0259\u015fdirib v\u0259 bu missiyan\u0131n mandat\u0131n\u0131 2027-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r uzad\u0131b. Bu, \u0259slind\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n r\u0259hb\u0259rlik etdiyi Kollektiv T\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik M\u00fcqavil\u0259si T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131ndan (KTMT) uzaqla\u015fma siqnal\u0131 idi, \u00e7\u00fcnki KTMT 2021-2022 s\u0259rh\u0259d b\u00f6hran\u0131nda Erm\u0259nistan\u0131 m\u0259yus etmi\u015fdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kincisi, 2023-c\u00fc ilin sentyabr\u0131nda Erm\u0259nistan ordusu AB\u015e il\u0259 birg\u0259 h\u0259rbi t\u0259lim ke\u00e7irib. Bu, tarixd\u0259 ilk bel\u0259 geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 AB\u015e-Erm\u0259nistan t\u0259limi idi v\u0259 Moskvan\u0131n k\u0259skin etiraz\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, Pa\u015finyan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti Beyn\u0259lxalq Cinay\u0259t M\u0259hk\u0259m\u0259sinin (ICC)<\/strong> Roma statutunu ratifikasiya etdi ki, bu da Putin kimi rus liderl\u0259rinin Erm\u0259nistana s\u0259f\u0259rin\u0259 h\u00fcquqi risk yarad\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar Yerevan\u0131n Rusiya t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik \u00e7\u0259tirind\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xd\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015far\u0259 idi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Erm\u0259nistan Avropa v\u0259 AB\u015e-d\u0259n g\u00fccl\u00fc siyasi-diplomatik d\u0259st\u0259k alma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. AB\u015e Konqresinin N\u00fcmay\u0259nd\u0259l\u0259r Palatas\u0131n\u0131n spikeri Nensi Pelosinin Yerevana s\u0259f\u0259ri, Fransa Xarici i\u015fl\u0259r nazirinin c\u0259bh\u0259yan\u0131 b\u00f6lg\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 getm\u0259si kimi add\u0131mlar Erm\u0259nistan ictimaiyy\u0259tind\u0259 Q\u0259rb\u0259 \u00fcmidl\u0259ri art\u0131r\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pa\u015finyan Br\u00fcssel format\u0131nda (Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131 \u015euras\u0131n\u0131n Prezidenti \u015earl Mi\u015felin vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyi il\u0259) apar\u0131lan s\u00fclh dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131na da x\u00fcsusi \u00f6n\u0259m verib. Onun hesab\u0131na g\u00f6r\u0259, Rusiya vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyind\u0259ki dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlarda Kremlin \u00f6z maraqlar\u0131 \u00f6n plandad\u0131r, halbuki Q\u0259rb vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyi Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n suverenliyin\u0259 daha \u00e7ox h\u00f6rm\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, Erm\u0259nistan son aylarda \u00c7inl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259k istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 d\u0259 add\u0131mlar at\u0131r. <\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Bu yay Erm\u0259nistan ilk d\u0259f\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 \u015eanxay \u018fm\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131na maraq g\u00f6st\u0259rdiyini a\u00e7\u0131qlay\u0131b. Xarici i\u015fl\u0259r naziri Ararat Mirzoyan Pekin\u0259 s\u0259f\u0259ri zaman\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u015e\u018fT-\u0259 \u00fczv olmaq ist\u0259diyini bildirib. H\u0259min s\u0259f\u0259r \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 \u00c7in v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan aras\u0131nda diplomatik m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin yeni m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259y\u0259 – \u201ch\u0259rt\u0259r\u0259fli strateji t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015fl\u0131q\u201d s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259ldilm\u0259si q\u0259rara al\u0131n\u0131b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu ilin avqustunda Pa\u015finyan v\u0259 Si Cinpin Tianjin \u015f\u0259h\u0259rind\u0259 (\u00c7ind\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259n \u015e\u018fT sammiti zaman\u0131) g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u0259r\u0259k birg\u0259 b\u0259yanat veribl\u0259r. Bu b\u0259yanatda t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259r bir-birinin suverenliyin\u0259 z\u0259r\u0259r ver\u0259c\u0259k add\u0131mlardan \u00e7\u0259kin\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 s\u00f6z veribl\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Erm\u0259nistan
Erm\u0259nistan Ba\u015f naziri Nikol pa\u015finyan v\u0259 \u00c7in S\u0259dri Si Cinpin | foto: primeminister.am<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan G\u00fcrc\u00fcstan v\u0259 Orta Asiya vasit\u0259sil\u0259 \u00c7in bazar\u0131na birba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn yeni ticar\u0259t mar\u015frutlar\u0131 a\u00e7ma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, \u0130ran vasit\u0259sil\u0259 Hind okean\u0131na \u00e7\u0131x\u0131\u015f, Orta Asiya \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259ri il\u0259 logistika sazi\u015fl\u0259ri g\u00fcnd\u0259md\u0259dir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunlar h\u0259l\u0259 ka\u011f\u0131z \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 planlard\u0131r. Lakin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n odur ki, Erm\u0259nistan \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc qapal\u0131 m\u00fchitd\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xar\u0131b \u00e7oxt\u0259r\u0259fli \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r sistemin\u0259 daxil etm\u0259k ist\u0259yir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlara baxmayaraq, q\u0131sam\u00fcdd\u0259tli perspektivd\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Rusiya amili h\u0259l\u0259 tamamil\u0259 aradan qalxmay\u0131b. \u00d6lk\u0259nin t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sistemi (ordunun silahlar\u0131, s\u0259rh\u0259d m\u00fchafiz\u0259si v\u0259 s.) h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcd\u0259 Moskvan\u0131n resurslar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcmr\u00fc \u015f\u0259h\u0259rind\u0259 yerl\u0259\u015f\u0259n 102-ci Rusiya h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 s\u0259rh\u0259dinin qorunmas\u0131nda rol oynay\u0131r. \u00dcst\u0259lik, Erm\u0259nistan iqtisadiyyat\u0131nda (enerji, n\u0259qliyyat sah\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259) Rusiya \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rinin pay\u0131 b\u00f6y\u00fckd\u00fcr. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 Pa\u015finyan h\u0259r n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r strateji bax\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u201cRusiyadan uzaqla\u015fma\u201dya \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck vers\u0259 d\u0259, praktiki olaraq tam q\u0131r\u0131lma ba\u015f vermir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O, h\u0259m\u00e7inin b\u0259yan edib ki, Erm\u0259nistan KTMT-d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xma\u011f\u0131 planla\u015fd\u0131rm\u0131r, sad\u0259c\u0259 bu t\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259liliyini t\u0259nqid edir. Bel\u0259likl\u0259, Yerevan m\u00fcst\u0259qil kurs g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da, h\u0259l\u0259lik \u201cRusiyas\u0131z\u201d t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik konfiqurasiyas\u0131 tam formala\u015fmay\u0131b. Pa\u015finyan h\u00f6kum\u0259ti zaman qazanaraq paralel \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Q\u0259rbd\u0259n maliyy\u0259 v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik, \u00c7ind\u0259n investisiya v\u0259 diplomatik d\u0259st\u0259k almaqla bu bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurma\u011fa can at\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u0259tic\u0259 etibaril\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan haz\u0131rda \u201ciqtisadi-siyasi \u00e7oxvektorluq\u201d yolundad\u0131r: bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n AB\u015e-A\u0130 tandemin\u0259 inteqrasiya olmaq, demokratiya v\u0259 Q\u0259rb d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ri platformas\u0131nda legitimlik qazanmaq ist\u0259yir; o biri t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, \u00c7in, Hindistan, \u0130ran kimi regional g\u00fccl\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri geni\u015fl\u0259ndir\u0259r\u0259k Rusiyadan as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b balans\u0131n davam\u0131 Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn asan deyil. \u00c7\u00fcnki \u00f6lk\u0259 daxilind\u0259 h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 Rusiyay\u00f6n\u00fcml\u00fc ictimai-siyasi t\u0259b\u0259q\u0259 m\u00f6vcuddur. Eyni zamanda Q\u0259rbl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259rin d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si Moskvan\u0131n q\u0259z\u0259bin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olur (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, \u00f6t\u0259n m\u00fcdd\u0259td\u0259 Rusiya Erm\u0259nistana silah sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 faktiki dayand\u0131r\u0131b, g\u00f6mr\u00fck sah\u0259sind\u0259 probleml\u0259r yarad\u0131b). Lakin Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259ti s\u00fclh sazi\u015fin\u0259 nail olub s\u0259rh\u0259dl\u0259ri a\u00e7maqla v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti sabitl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 \u00fcmid edir. \u00c7\u00fcnki Az\u0259rbaycanla m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259 bit\u0259rs\u0259, Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Rusiya \u201cqorumas\u0131\u201dna ehtiyac\u0131 minimuma en\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 o, tamamil\u0259 yeni geosiyasi reall\u0131qda – b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin investisiya v\u0259 yard\u0131mlar\u0131 fonunda \u00f6z inki\u015faf yolunu m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n ed\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bu, \u0259lb\u0259tt\u0259 ki, ideal senaridir; h\u0259l\u0259 ki, Erm\u0259nistan h\u0259m Rusiya il\u0259 k\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u0259ri yand\u0131rmama\u011fa, h\u0259m d\u0259 yeni m\u00fctt\u0259fiql\u0259r tapma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015faraq riskli bir ip \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 tarazl\u0131q saxlay\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n

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\n\t"S\u00fclh m\u00fcqavil\u0259si Bak\u0131n\u0131n "Q\u0259rbi Az\u0259rbaycan" tezisind\u0259n imtinas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutur": Yerevandan r\u0259y\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n Va\u015finqtonda paraflanm\u0131\u015f s\u0259n\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259rin bir-birin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 \u0259razi iddialar\u0131 olmamal\u0131d\u0131r. “Q\u0259rbi Az\u0259rbaycan” narrativini Yerevan \u00f6z \u0259razisin\u0259 iddia say\u0131r.\n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

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N\u0259tic\u0259<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

C\u0259nubi Qafqazda m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259 bel\u0259dir: Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan s\u00fclh prosesinin konteksti lokal \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259d\u0259n \u00e7\u0131xaraq qlobal r\u0259qab\u0259t meydan\u0131na \u00e7evrilib. B\u00f6lg\u0259 art\u0131q t\u0259kc\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Yerevan\u0131n n\u0259 d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 anla\u015faca\u011f\u0131na deyil, Va\u015finqton, Moskva, Pekin v\u0259 dig\u0259r paytaxtlar\u0131n hans\u0131 strategiyan\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u0259c\u0259yin\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 formala\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Q\u0259rbin uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli hegemon t\u0259sirin\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131xan \u00c7in-Rusiya tandemi C\u0259nubi Qafqaz\u0131 da \u00e7oxq\u00fctbl\u00fc d\u00fcnyan\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcr. Dig\u0259r yandan, AB\u015e v\u0259 Avropa buradak\u0131 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin h\u0259llini Rusiya t\u0259sirinin azalmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn f\u00fcrs\u0259t hesab edir. Bel\u0259 m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b \u015f\u0259rait s\u00fclh prosesin\u0259 h\u0259m m\u00fcsb\u0259t, h\u0259m d\u0259 m\u0259nfi t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00fcsb\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fi ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin diqq\u0259ti regionda s\u00fclh\u0259 nail olunmas\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lav\u0259 t\u0259kan verir. \u0130ki f\u0259rqli vasit\u0259\u00e7ilik kanal\u0131 – AB\u015e v\u0259 Avropa Birliyi x\u0259tti, h\u0259m\u00e7inin Rusiya (v\u0259 indi qism\u0259n \u00c7in) x\u0259tti t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259ri daha \u00e7evik davranma\u011fa vadar edir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, 2023-c\u00fc ilin ortalar\u0131nda h\u0259m Br\u00fcsseld\u0259, h\u0259m Moskvan\u0131n himay\u0259sind\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 Va\u015finqtonda intensiv m\u00fczakir\u0259l\u0259r ke\u00e7irilm\u0259si n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 s\u00fclh sazi\u015finin layih\u0259si xeyli ir\u0259lil\u0259mi\u015fdi. R\u0259qab\u0259t \u015f\u0259raitind\u0259 vasit\u0259\u00e7il\u0259r u\u011fur qazanmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn daha \u00e7ox s\u0259y g\u00f6st\u0259rirl\u0259r, bu is\u0259 n\u0259tic\u0259 etibaril\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Yerevan\u0131n anla\u015fmas\u0131na xidm\u0259t ed\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB\u015e-\u00c7in r\u0259qab\u0259ti d\u0259 bir paradoks olaraq h\u0259r ikisini b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 sabitliyin qorunmas\u0131nda maraql\u0131 edir – Va\u015finqton Rusiyan\u0131 k\u0259narda qoymaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u00fclh ist\u0259yir, Pekin is\u0259 investisiyalar\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259siz m\u00fchitd\u0259 yerl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259k \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn. \u00dcst\u0259g\u0259l, Ankara, Tehran kimi regional g\u00fccl\u0259r d\u0259 yeni kommunikasiya layih\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n fayda g\u00f6t\u00fcrm\u0259yi planla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r v\u0259 bu s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n toqqu\u015fmalar\u0131n bitm\u0259sind\u0259 maraql\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin r\u0259qab\u0259tinin riskl\u0259ri d\u0259 m\u00f6vcuddur. \u018fg\u0259r s\u00fclh prosesi geosiyasi \u00e7\u0259k-\u00e7evirin al\u0259tin\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259rs\u0259, o zaman substantiv m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r k\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 qala bil\u0259r.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, \u0259g\u0259r AB\u015e v\u0259 Rusiya (v\u0259 ya \u00c7in) aras\u0131nda g\u0259rginlik artsa, Erm\u0259nistan v\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan onlardan birinin yan\u0131nda yer alma\u011fa m\u0259cbur qalarsa, s\u00fclh sazi\u015fi gecik\u0259 bil\u0259r. Bel\u0259 bir senari 1990-c\u0131 ill\u0259rd\u0259 m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmu\u015fdu – Q\u0259rb v\u0259 Rusiya aras\u0131nda n\u00fcfuz yar\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bind\u0259n Qaraba\u011f m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259si dondurulmu\u015f v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 saxlan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130ndi ox\u015far t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259 ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, \u0259g\u0259r Moskva C\u0259nubi Qafqazdan tamamil\u0259 k\u0259narla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hiss ets\u0259, Yerevan-Bak\u0131 raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 pozmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259lind\u0259n g\u0259l\u0259ni ed\u0259 bil\u0259r (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259ki separat\u00e7\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259m\u0259k, yaxud s\u00fclh m\u00fcqavil\u0259sin\u0259 mane olacaq t\u0259zyiql\u0259r g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259k).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bundan \u0259lav\u0259, Va\u015finqton-Pekin qlobal qar\u015f\u0131durmas\u0131 k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015f\u0259rs\u0259, onun dal\u011falar\u0131 region \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259rinin se\u00e7im qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda qalmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xarar. Az\u0259rbaycan \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ki, \u201cikili t\u0259l\u0259\u201dy\u0259 d\u00fc\u015fm\u0259sin, lakin b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259r b\u0259z\u0259n ki\u00e7ik d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin tam neytral qalmas\u0131na imkan vermir. Bel\u0259 ki, AB\u015e-nin sanksiyalar\u0131, yaxud \u00c7inl\u0259 iqtisadi as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131q g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 Bak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7\u0259tin se\u00e7iml\u0259r yaradarsa, bu, s\u00fclh prosesin\u0259 d\u0259 dolayl\u0131 t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259 bil\u0259r (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, hans\u0131sa kommunikasiyan\u0131n hans\u0131 standartlarla v\u0259 kimin maliyy\u0259si il\u0259 qurulmas\u0131 m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259sind\u0259).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lakin reall\u0131q ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, hal-haz\u0131rda h\u0259m Va\u015finqton, h\u0259m Pekin C\u0259nubi Qafqazda bar\u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u0259ld\u0259 olunmas\u0131ndan yana kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u0259r. Onlar\u0131n bu m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 maraqlar\u0131 toqqu\u015fmur, \u0259ksin\u0259, m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r \u00fcst-\u00fcst\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr. AB\u015e \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas olan Rusiyan\u0131n n\u00fcfuz dair\u0259sinin daralmas\u0131d\u0131r ki, Erm\u0259nistan-Az\u0259rbaycan s\u00fclh\u00fc bunu t\u0259min edir. \u00c7in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259sas olan b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli sabitlikdir ki, investisiya v\u0259 ticar\u0259t ax\u0131nlar\u0131 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259siz olsun. Bu m\u0259qs\u0259d d\u0259 m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin h\u0259lli il\u0259 ger\u00e7\u0259kl\u0259\u015fir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, h\u0259l\u0259lik AB\u015e-\u00c7in r\u0259qab\u0259ti s\u00fclh dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131na birba\u015fa \u0259ng\u0259l yaratmay\u0131b. \u018fksin\u0259, 2025-ci ilin avqustunda Va\u015finqtonda \u018fliyev v\u0259 Pa\u015finyan\u0131n i\u015ftirak\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259ld\u0259 olunan ilkin raz\u0131la\u015fman\u0131 \u00c7in a\u00e7\u0131q \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yib v\u0259 onu \u201cinki\u015fafa t\u00f6hf\u0259 ver\u0259n add\u0131m\u201d kimi d\u0259y\u0259rl\u0259ndirib. Bu onu g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259r bu konkret m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259d\u0259 konsensus tapa bilirl\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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N\u0259tic\u0259 olaraq, Az\u0259rbaycan-Erm\u0259nistan s\u00fclh prosesinin u\u011furu xeyli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 regional aktorlar\u0131n \u00f6z aralar\u0131nda raz\u0131la\u015fma qabiliyy\u0259tind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olsa da, qlobal g\u00fccl\u0259rin strategiyalar\u0131ndan da k\u0259nar deyil. <\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

C\u0259nubi Qafqaz art\u0131q yaln\u0131z yerli oyun\u00e7ular\u0131n deyil, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n m\u00fcxt\u0259lif q\u00fctbl\u0259rinin maraqlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0259si\u015fdiyi bir m\u0259kand\u0131r. AB\u015e b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259 demokratiya v\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik m\u00fcst\u0259visind\u0259 n\u00fcfuz qazanma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r, \u00c7in iqtisadi layih\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259nir, Rusiya is\u0259 itirdikl\u0259rini geri qaytarma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bel\u0259 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan h\u0259r iki superg\u00fccl\u0259 balans\u0131 qoruyub qalib g\u0259lm\u0259k, Erm\u0259nistan is\u0259 \u0259n\u0259n\u0259vi himay\u0259dar\u0131n\u0131n z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259n yararlan\u0131b alternativl\u0259r tapmaq niyy\u0259tind\u0259dir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00fclh prosesi bu r\u0259qab\u0259td\u0259n h\u0259m b\u0259hr\u0259l\u0259n\u0259, h\u0259m d\u0259 z\u0259r\u0259r g\u00f6r\u0259 bil\u0259r. \u00dcmidverici hal budur ki, haz\u0131rda h\u0259m Q\u0259rb, h\u0259m \u015e\u0259rq C\u0259nubi Qafqazda m\u00fcnaqi\u015f\u0259nin bitm\u0259sind\u0259 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n maraq sahibidirl\u0259r. Bu tarixi f\u00fcrs\u0259td\u0259n istifad\u0259 etm\u0259k is\u0259 ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 Bak\u0131 il\u0259 Yerevan\u0131n siyasi irad\u0259sin\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Onlar b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin maraqlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6z maraqlar\u0131 il\u0259 uzla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b davaml\u0131 s\u00fclh\u0259 nail ola bils\u0259l\u0259r, C\u0259nubi Qafqaz do\u011frudan da \u00e7oxq\u00fctbl\u00fc d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u0259m\u0259kda\u015fl\u0131q meydan\u0131na \u00e7evril\u0259 bil\u0259r. \u018fks halda, r\u0259qab\u0259t girdab\u0131 yeni g\u0259rginlikl\u0259r do\u011fura bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00fclh\u00fcn a\u00e7ar\u0131 h\u0259l\u0259 ki, region liderl\u0259rinin \u0259lind\u0259dir – b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259r is\u0259 h\u0259min qap\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 asanla\u015fd\u0131ra da bil\u0259r, \u00e7\u0259tinl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259 d\u0259. Tarazl\u0131q siyas\u0259ti v\u0259 praqmatik diplomatiya bu m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b oyunda ki\u00e7ik d\u00f6vl\u0259tl\u0259rin \u0259n g\u00fccl\u00fc silah\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\n
\n\n
\n \n\n\n\n\n\n

\n\t"\u0130lham \u018fliyev, \u00f6z \u00f6lk\u0259nizin v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar\u0131 il\u0259 nec\u0259, s\u00fclh ba\u011flamaq fikriniz varm\u0131?" – jurnalist h\u0259bsxanadan yaz\u0131r\n<\/h2>\n\n

\n “Meydan TV i\u015fi” \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259bs edil\u0259n jurnalist Fatim\u0259 M\u00f6vlaml\u0131 Va\u015finqtonda ke\u00e7iril\u0259n “Tarixi s\u00fclh g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc” bar\u0259d\u0259 fikirl\u0259rini h\u0259bsxanadan g\u00f6nd\u0259rdiyi m\u0259tbunda qeyd edib. \n<\/p>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n

\n
\n \n \"Fatim\u0259\n <\/a>\n<\/figure>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/article>\n\n\n\n

Regionda s\u00fclh v\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin maraqlar\u0131<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Va\u015finqtonun vasit\u0259\u00e7iliyi il\u0259 s\u00fclh g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fl\u0259ri ke\u00e7irilir, eyni zamanda \u00c7in r\u0259hb\u0259rliyi Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan r\u0259hb\u0259rl\u0259rini Pekind\u0259 ke\u00e7iril\u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259li t\u0259dbirl\u0259r\u0259 v\u0259 h\u0259rbi paradlara d\u0259v\u0259t edir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":100358,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,5602,17,9,4043,25,50,49,5,4,44],"tags":[18,33,101,152,57,157],"formation":[],"post-author":[6164],"topic":[6437,4951,6194,6111,6181,4952,6193,6110,6202,6286,245,382,40,413,4955,4957],"tooltip":[],"city":[6041],"class_list":["post-100353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ermnistan","category-azerbaycan-ermenistan","category-azrbaycan","category-munaqislr","category-explainer","category-cmiyyt","category-xbrlr","category-srh","category-siyast","category-rusiya","category-turkiy","tag-azrbaycan","tag-ermnistan","tag-qafqaz","tag-qafqaz-xbrlri","tag-qafqazda-siyast","tag-xbrlr","post-author-elmddin-samilzad","topic-eliyev-pasinyan-v-tramp-gorusu","topic-ermnistan","topic-ermnistan-iran","topic-ermnistan-rusiya","topic-ermnistan-turkiy","topic-azrbaycan","topic-azrbaycan-iran","topic-azrbaycan-rusiya","topic-azrbaycan-abs","topic-azrbaycan-cin","topic-azrbaycan-v-ermnistan","topic-ilham-liyev","topic-qarabag-munaqissi","topic-nikol-pasinyan","topic-rusiya","topic-turkiy","city-baki"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRegionda s\u00fclh v\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin maraqlar\u0131 \/JAMnews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Regionda s\u00fclh v\u0259 b\u00f6y\u00fck g\u00fccl\u0259rin maraqlar\u0131. 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